The race for third place in Morocco’s September 23, 2026, legislative elections stays closely contested amid fragmented voter preferences and widespread skepticism toward political parties. Current parliamentary standings from the 2021 results show RNI leading with 102 seats, followed by PAM and Istiqlal (PI), while PJD holds only 13 after its earlier collapse. Recent surveys reveal low overall support across the spectrum—none exceeding 4 percent—with Istiqlal edging ahead in voting intentions but all major parties trailing amid concerns over representation and policy delivery. The governing coalition’s midterm positioning and low expected turnout reinforce balanced trader probabilities for RNI, PI, and PAM as potential third-place finishers, with modest PJD gains or turnout swings among key blocs offering the main paths to separation before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRNI 30%
PI 30%
PAM 10%
PJD 2.4%
$27,892 Vol.
$27,892 Vol.

RNI
39%

PI
30%

PAM
8%

PJD
2%

UC
1%

MP
<1%

PPS
<1%

USFP
<1%
RNI 30%
PI 30%
PAM 10%
PJD 2.4%
$27,892 Vol.
$27,892 Vol.

RNI
39%

PI
30%

PAM
8%

PJD
2%

UC
1%

MP
<1%

PPS
<1%

USFP
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The race for third place in Morocco’s September 23, 2026, legislative elections stays closely contested amid fragmented voter preferences and widespread skepticism toward political parties. Current parliamentary standings from the 2021 results show RNI leading with 102 seats, followed by PAM and Istiqlal (PI), while PJD holds only 13 after its earlier collapse. Recent surveys reveal low overall support across the spectrum—none exceeding 4 percent—with Istiqlal edging ahead in voting intentions but all major parties trailing amid concerns over representation and policy delivery. The governing coalition’s midterm positioning and low expected turnout reinforce balanced trader probabilities for RNI, PI, and PAM as potential third-place finishers, with modest PJD gains or turnout swings among key blocs offering the main paths to separation before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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