The Los Angeles Dodgers hold the top implied probability at 31.5% due to their elite roster depth, star power including Shohei Ohtani, and key midseason additions like two-time Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal, who posted a strong outing in his return start against Detroit. The Milwaukee Brewers sit second at 11.3% on the strength of the majors' best record near 84-51 and a dominant run differential, reflecting consistent pitching and offensive production. The New York Yankees at 9.5% benefit from a strong AL East showing and recent hot streaks, while the Tampa Bay Rays, Boston Red Sox, Philadelphia Phillies, Atlanta Braves, and Chicago Cubs round out the top tier based on division leads or competitive wild-card positioning with solid recent form. These probabilities reflect the wisdom of crowds incorporating late-August standings, injury recoveries, and schedule contexts as the playoff picture clarifies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLos Angeles Dodgers 31%
Milwaukee Brewers 11.3%
New York Yankees 10%
Tampa Bay Rays 7.1%
$39,831,497 Vol.
$39,831,497 Vol.
Los Angeles Dodgers
31%
Milwaukee Brewers
11%
New York Yankees
10%
Tampa Bay Rays
7%
Boston Red Sox
6%
Philadelphia Phillies
6%
Atlanta Braves
6%
Chicago Cubs
5%
Chicago White Sox
3%
San Diego Padres
3%
Seattle Mariners
2%
Cleveland Guardians
2%
Houston Astros
2%
Toronto Blue Jays
1%
Texas Rangers
1%
Arizona Diamondbacks
1%
Minnesota Twins
<1%
Baltimore Orioles
<1%
Detroit Tigers
<1%
Kansas City Royals
<1%
Miami Marlins
<1%
St. Louis Cardinals
<1%
Los Angeles Angels
<1%
Athletics
<1%
New York Mets
<1%
Washington Nationals
<1%
Cincinnati Reds
<1%
Pittsburgh Pirates
<1%
San Francisco Giants
<1%
Colorado Rockies
<1%
Los Angeles Dodgers 31%
Milwaukee Brewers 11.3%
New York Yankees 10%
Tampa Bay Rays 7.1%
$39,831,497 Vol.
$39,831,497 Vol.
Los Angeles Dodgers
31%
Milwaukee Brewers
11%
New York Yankees
10%
Tampa Bay Rays
7%
Boston Red Sox
6%
Philadelphia Phillies
6%
Atlanta Braves
6%
Chicago Cubs
5%
Chicago White Sox
3%
San Diego Padres
3%
Seattle Mariners
2%
Cleveland Guardians
2%
Houston Astros
2%
Toronto Blue Jays
1%
Texas Rangers
1%
Arizona Diamondbacks
1%
Minnesota Twins
<1%
Baltimore Orioles
<1%
Detroit Tigers
<1%
Kansas City Royals
<1%
Miami Marlins
<1%
St. Louis Cardinals
<1%
Los Angeles Angels
<1%
Athletics
<1%
New York Mets
<1%
Washington Nationals
<1%
Cincinnati Reds
<1%
Pittsburgh Pirates
<1%
San Francisco Giants
<1%
Colorado Rockies
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Los Angeles Dodgers hold the top implied probability at 31.5% due to their elite roster depth, star power including Shohei Ohtani, and key midseason additions like two-time Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal, who posted a strong outing in his return start against Detroit. The Milwaukee Brewers sit second at 11.3% on the strength of the majors' best record near 84-51 and a dominant run differential, reflecting consistent pitching and offensive production. The New York Yankees at 9.5% benefit from a strong AL East showing and recent hot streaks, while the Tampa Bay Rays, Boston Red Sox, Philadelphia Phillies, Atlanta Braves, and Chicago Cubs round out the top tier based on division leads or competitive wild-card positioning with solid recent form. These probabilities reflect the wisdom of crowds incorporating late-August standings, injury recoveries, and schedule contexts as the playoff picture clarifies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions