**Trader consensus heavily favors "Down" at 79% implied probability because the relevant Mega Charizard X ex printing (likely the accessible Phantasmal Flames variant near the $35 threshold) has shown consistent downward momentum amid post-release supply normalization.** Recent 30-day data indicate double-digit percentage drops across comparable listings, with raw copies settling in the mid-to-low $20s as more sealed product enters circulation and initial hype fades. Pokémon TCG chase cards routinely experience 30-50% corrections in their first year once print runs stabilize and collector attention shifts to newer sets, a pattern reinforced here by steady sales volume without fresh promotional catalysts. With August 31 only days away and no announced reprints, restocks, or major media tie-ins on the horizon, the market-implied odds reflect this ongoing price trajectory rather than any reversal signal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMega Charizard X ex Price Over/Under $35.90 on August 31?
Mega Charizard X ex Price Over/Under $35.90 on August 31?
Over
21% chance
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
Over
21% chance
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $35.90.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $35.90.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $35.90.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**Trader consensus heavily favors "Down" at 79% implied probability because the relevant Mega Charizard X ex printing (likely the accessible Phantasmal Flames variant near the $35 threshold) has shown consistent downward momentum amid post-release supply normalization.**
Recent 30-day data indicate double-digit percentage drops across comparable listings, with raw copies settling in the mid-to-low $20s as more sealed product enters circulation and initial hype fades. Pokémon TCG chase cards routinely experience 30-50% corrections in their first year once print runs stabilize and collector attention shifts to newer sets, a pattern reinforced here by steady sales volume without fresh promotional catalysts. With August 31 only days away and no announced reprints, restocks, or major media tie-ins on the horizon, the market-implied odds reflect this ongoing price trajectory rather than any reversal signal.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $35.90.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $35.90.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $35.90.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $35.90.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $35.90.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
Volume
$269End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $35.90.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $35.90.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $35.90.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**Trader consensus heavily favors "Down" at 79% implied probability because the relevant Mega Charizard X ex printing (likely the accessible Phantasmal Flames variant near the $35 threshold) has shown consistent downward momentum amid post-release supply normalization.**
Recent 30-day data indicate double-digit percentage drops across comparable listings, with raw copies settling in the mid-to-low $20s as more sealed product enters circulation and initial hype fades. Pokémon TCG chase cards routinely experience 30-50% corrections in their first year once print runs stabilize and collector attention shifts to newer sets, a pattern reinforced here by steady sales volume without fresh promotional catalysts. With August 31 only days away and no announced reprints, restocks, or major media tie-ins on the horizon, the market-implied odds reflect this ongoing price trajectory rather than any reversal signal.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $35.90.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $35.90.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $35.90.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $35.90.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $35.90.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Volume
$269End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus heavily favors "Down" at 79% implied probability because the relevant Mega Charizard X ex printing (likely the accessible Phantasmal Flames variant near the $35 threshold) has shown consistent downward momentum amid post-release supply normalization.** Recent 30-day data indicate double-digit percentage drops across comparable listings, with raw copies settling in the mid-to-low $20s as more sealed product enters circulation and initial hype fades. Pokémon TCG chase cards routinely experience 30-50% corrections in their first year once print runs stabilize and collector attention shifts to newer sets, a pattern reinforced here by steady sales volume without fresh promotional catalysts. With August 31 only days away and no announced reprints, restocks, or major media tie-ins on the horizon, the market-implied odds reflect this ongoing price trajectory rather than any reversal signal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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