Persistent heatwave conditions across North Texas, with clear skies and southerly flow, drove overnight radiative cooling to a minimum of 86–87°F at the official Dallas-Fort Worth station on August 24. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service observations and model consensus showing minimal nocturnal cloud cover or frontal passages that could otherwise suppress temperatures. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 75–77°F, but sustained high pressure and above-average dew points elevated the floor by roughly 10°F. Market-implied odds near 99.5% reflect traders' assessment of these verified conditions, while scenarios such as unexpected convective development or measurement discrepancies at the station remain the only realistic paths to alternative resolutions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on August 24?
86-87°F 99.4%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$2,892 Vol.
$2,892 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
99%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 99.4%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$2,892 Vol.
$2,892 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
79°F or below
$229 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$79 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$124 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$43 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$138 Vol.
99%
88-89°F
$372 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$373 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$345 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$210 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$454 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$525 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across North Texas, with clear skies and southerly flow, drove overnight radiative cooling to a minimum of 86–87°F at the official Dallas-Fort Worth station on August 24. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service observations and model consensus showing minimal nocturnal cloud cover or frontal passages that could otherwise suppress temperatures. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 75–77°F, but sustained high pressure and above-average dew points elevated the floor by roughly 10°F. Market-implied odds near 99.5% reflect traders' assessment of these verified conditions, while scenarios such as unexpected convective development or measurement discrepancies at the station remain the only realistic paths to alternative resolutions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$2,892End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across North Texas, with clear skies and southerly flow, drove overnight radiative cooling to a minimum of 86–87°F at the official Dallas-Fort Worth station on August 24. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service observations and model consensus showing minimal nocturnal cloud cover or frontal passages that could otherwise suppress temperatures. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 75–77°F, but sustained high pressure and above-average dew points elevated the floor by roughly 10°F. Market-implied odds near 99.5% reflect traders' assessment of these verified conditions, while scenarios such as unexpected convective development or measurement discrepancies at the station remain the only realistic paths to alternative resolutions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,892End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heatwave conditions across North Texas, with clear skies and southerly flow, drove overnight radiative cooling to a minimum of 86–87°F at the official Dallas-Fort Worth station on August 24. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service observations and model consensus showing minimal nocturnal cloud cover or frontal passages that could otherwise suppress temperatures. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 75–77°F, but sustained high pressure and above-average dew points elevated the floor by roughly 10°F. Market-implied odds near 99.5% reflect traders' assessment of these verified conditions, while scenarios such as unexpected convective development or measurement discrepancies at the station remain the only realistic paths to alternative resolutions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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