Vice President JD Vance continues serving without interruption since his January 2025 inauguration, with no official announcements, procedural steps, or credible reports indicating resignation, removal, or vacancy. Traders price low probabilities of departure through 2026 because the vice president cannot be removed by the president and the 25th Amendment requires specific processes involving Congress for permanent replacement. Recent developments reinforcing stability include Vance’s expanded diplomatic role in Iran-related talks, appointment as fraud task force chair, public fundraising success, and Trump’s reported preference for him as a leading 2028 successor over other administration figures. The July 2026 birth of his fourth child and post-midterm family discussions about a presidential bid further align with an incumbent-focused posture. Key upcoming catalysts remain the November 2026 midterms and any subsequent 2028 positioning signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJD Vance out as VP by...?
JD Vance out as VP by...?
$239,608 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
6%
$239,608 Vol.
December 31
$148,301 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vice President JD Vance continues serving without interruption since his January 2025 inauguration, with no official announcements, procedural steps, or credible reports indicating resignation, removal, or vacancy. Traders price low probabilities of departure through 2026 because the vice president cannot be removed by the president and the 25th Amendment requires specific processes involving Congress for permanent replacement. Recent developments reinforcing stability include Vance’s expanded diplomatic role in Iran-related talks, appointment as fraud task force chair, public fundraising success, and Trump’s reported preference for him as a leading 2028 successor over other administration figures. The July 2026 birth of his fourth child and post-midterm family discussions about a presidential bid further align with an incumbent-focused posture. Key upcoming catalysts remain the November 2026 midterms and any subsequent 2028 positioning signals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$239,608End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vice President JD Vance continues serving without interruption since his January 2025 inauguration, with no official announcements, procedural steps, or credible reports indicating resignation, removal, or vacancy. Traders price low probabilities of departure through 2026 because the vice president cannot be removed by the president and the 25th Amendment requires specific processes involving Congress for permanent replacement. Recent developments reinforcing stability include Vance’s expanded diplomatic role in Iran-related talks, appointment as fraud task force chair, public fundraising success, and Trump’s reported preference for him as a leading 2028 successor over other administration figures. The July 2026 birth of his fourth child and post-midterm family discussions about a presidential bid further align with an incumbent-focused posture. Key upcoming catalysts remain the November 2026 midterms and any subsequent 2028 positioning signals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$239,608End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vice President JD Vance continues serving without interruption since his January 2025 inauguration, with no official announcements, procedural steps, or credible reports indicating resignation, removal, or vacancy. Traders price low probabilities of departure through 2026 because the vice president cannot be removed by the president and the 25th Amendment requires specific processes involving Congress for permanent replacement. Recent developments reinforcing stability include Vance’s expanded diplomatic role in Iran-related talks, appointment as fraud task force chair, public fundraising success, and Trump’s reported preference for him as a leading 2028 successor over other administration figures. The July 2026 birth of his fourth child and post-midterm family discussions about a presidential bid further align with an incumbent-focused posture. Key upcoming catalysts remain the November 2026 midterms and any subsequent 2028 positioning signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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