**JD Vance remains securely positioned as vice president in August 2026, with trader sentiment shaped by his alignment with President Trump and rising profile as the likely 2028 Republican presidential frontrunner.** Recent private comments from Trump to donors, including statements favoring Vance's election as successor, have reinforced this view alongside Vance's visible roles in Iran ceasefire diplomacy and domestic policy. Public comparisons with Secretary of State Marco Rubio have largely shifted in Vance's favor, with Trump no longer actively pitting the two against each other and polls showing Vance leading among Republican voters. Vance and his wife plan to decide on a 2028 bid after the November 2026 midterms, during which Republicans face competitive races for congressional majorities. Minor staff transitions and isolated security incidents have not altered the overall assessment of stability. No major public rifts or removal signals have emerged, keeping implied probabilities of an early exit low absent unforeseen developments such as health issues or sharp policy disagreements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJD Vance out as VP by...?
JD Vance out as VP by...?
$239,608 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
6%
$239,608 Vol.
December 31
$148,301 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**JD Vance remains securely positioned as vice president in August 2026, with trader sentiment shaped by his alignment with President Trump and rising profile as the likely 2028 Republican presidential frontrunner.** Recent private comments from Trump to donors, including statements favoring Vance's election as successor, have reinforced this view alongside Vance's visible roles in Iran ceasefire diplomacy and domestic policy. Public comparisons with Secretary of State Marco Rubio have largely shifted in Vance's favor, with Trump no longer actively pitting the two against each other and polls showing Vance leading among Republican voters. Vance and his wife plan to decide on a 2028 bid after the November 2026 midterms, during which Republicans face competitive races for congressional majorities. Minor staff transitions and isolated security incidents have not altered the overall assessment of stability. No major public rifts or removal signals have emerged, keeping implied probabilities of an early exit low absent unforeseen developments such as health issues or sharp policy disagreements.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$239,608End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**JD Vance remains securely positioned as vice president in August 2026, with trader sentiment shaped by his alignment with President Trump and rising profile as the likely 2028 Republican presidential frontrunner.** Recent private comments from Trump to donors, including statements favoring Vance's election as successor, have reinforced this view alongside Vance's visible roles in Iran ceasefire diplomacy and domestic policy. Public comparisons with Secretary of State Marco Rubio have largely shifted in Vance's favor, with Trump no longer actively pitting the two against each other and polls showing Vance leading among Republican voters. Vance and his wife plan to decide on a 2028 bid after the November 2026 midterms, during which Republicans face competitive races for congressional majorities. Minor staff transitions and isolated security incidents have not altered the overall assessment of stability. No major public rifts or removal signals have emerged, keeping implied probabilities of an early exit low absent unforeseen developments such as health issues or sharp policy disagreements.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$239,608End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**JD Vance remains securely positioned as vice president in August 2026, with trader sentiment shaped by his alignment with President Trump and rising profile as the likely 2028 Republican presidential frontrunner.** Recent private comments from Trump to donors, including statements favoring Vance's election as successor, have reinforced this view alongside Vance's visible roles in Iran ceasefire diplomacy and domestic policy. Public comparisons with Secretary of State Marco Rubio have largely shifted in Vance's favor, with Trump no longer actively pitting the two against each other and polls showing Vance leading among Republican voters. Vance and his wife plan to decide on a 2028 bid after the November 2026 midterms, during which Republicans face competitive races for congressional majorities. Minor staff transitions and isolated security incidents have not altered the overall assessment of stability. No major public rifts or removal signals have emerged, keeping implied probabilities of an early exit low absent unforeseen developments such as health issues or sharp policy disagreements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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