Morena holds a commanding position in Guerrero ahead of the 2027 gubernatorial election, with party preference at 43-53% in recent surveys, far ahead of the PRI. This underpins trader consensus favoring Beatriz Mojica Morga at 45.1% implied probability, as she leads internal Morena polling for the nomination at 24-29%. Over a dozen aspirants, including Esthela Damián Peralta and Abelina López Rodríguez, registered in June 2026 for the party's internal coordinator selection process. Mojica's temporary Senate leave to campaign statewide has sustained her edge, while opposition figures like Manuel Añorve trail significantly. The crowded field and ongoing internal dynamics keep separation limited until formal candidate selection advances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeatriz Mojica Morga 45.1%
Esthela Damián Peralta 20.0%
Mario Moreno Arcos 4.4%
Guadalupe Eguiluz 4.2%
$21,030 Vol.
$21,030 Vol.
Jun 6, 2027
Beatriz Mojica Morga
45%
Esthela Damián Peralta
20%
Mario Moreno Arcos
4%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
4%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
4%
Manuel Añorve Baños
4%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
3%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
2%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
2%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
1%
Alberto López Rosas
1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
1%
Julián López Galeana
1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 45.1%
Esthela Damián Peralta 20.0%
Mario Moreno Arcos 4.4%
Guadalupe Eguiluz 4.2%
$21,030 Vol.
$21,030 Vol.
Jun 6, 2027
Beatriz Mojica Morga
$8,623 Vol.
45%
Esthela Damián Peralta
$1,349 Vol.
20%
Mario Moreno Arcos
$318 Vol.
4%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
$238 Vol.
4%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
$235 Vol.
4%
Manuel Añorve Baños
$335 Vol.
4%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
$233 Vol.
3%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
$4,047 Vol.
2%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
$291 Vol.
2%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
$248 Vol.
1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
$258 Vol.
1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
$278 Vol.
1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
$246 Vol.
1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
$255 Vol.
1%
Alberto López Rosas
$276 Vol.
1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
$322 Vol.
1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
$303 Vol.
1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
$273 Vol.
1%
Julián López Galeana
$288 Vol.
1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
$302 Vol.
<1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
$254 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
$239 Vol.
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
$366 Vol.
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
$288 Vol.
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
$293 Vol.
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
$269 Vol.
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
$352 Vol.
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
$250 Vol.
<1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Morena holds a commanding position in Guerrero ahead of the 2027 gubernatorial election, with party preference at 43-53% in recent surveys, far ahead of the PRI. This underpins trader consensus favoring Beatriz Mojica Morga at 45.1% implied probability, as she leads internal Morena polling for the nomination at 24-29%. Over a dozen aspirants, including Esthela Damián Peralta and Abelina López Rodríguez, registered in June 2026 for the party's internal coordinator selection process. Mojica's temporary Senate leave to campaign statewide has sustained her edge, while opposition figures like Manuel Añorve trail significantly. The crowded field and ongoing internal dynamics keep separation limited until formal candidate selection advances.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Volume
$21,030End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Morena holds a commanding position in Guerrero ahead of the 2027 gubernatorial election, with party preference at 43-53% in recent surveys, far ahead of the PRI. This underpins trader consensus favoring Beatriz Mojica Morga at 45.1% implied probability, as she leads internal Morena polling for the nomination at 24-29%. Over a dozen aspirants, including Esthela Damián Peralta and Abelina López Rodríguez, registered in June 2026 for the party's internal coordinator selection process. Mojica's temporary Senate leave to campaign statewide has sustained her edge, while opposition figures like Manuel Añorve trail significantly. The crowded field and ongoing internal dynamics keep separation limited until formal candidate selection advances.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$21,030End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena holds a commanding position in Guerrero ahead of the 2027 gubernatorial election, with party preference at 43-53% in recent surveys, far ahead of the PRI. This underpins trader consensus favoring Beatriz Mojica Morga at 45.1% implied probability, as she leads internal Morena polling for the nomination at 24-29%. Over a dozen aspirants, including Esthela Damián Peralta and Abelina López Rodríguez, registered in June 2026 for the party's internal coordinator selection process. Mojica's temporary Senate leave to campaign statewide has sustained her edge, while opposition figures like Manuel Añorve trail significantly. The crowded field and ongoing internal dynamics keep separation limited until formal candidate selection advances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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