Florida's 28th congressional district carries an R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and positioning it among the more reliably GOP-leaning seats in the state. Incumbent Carlos Gimenez secured reelection in 2024 with over 64 percent of the vote and advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary, while Democratic nominee Phil Ehr and no-party-affiliation candidate Eddy Rojas represent the general-election opposition. Multiple forecasters classify the race as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the district's structural fundamentals and Florida's broader House map that favors the party. The current trader consensus reflects these factors along with Gimenez's established margins. Late-cycle national shifts in turnout, an unexpected scandal, or health developments involving the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-28 House Election Winner
FL-28 House Election Winner
$51,129 Vol.
$51,129 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
$51,129 Vol.
$51,129 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$28,646 Vol.
92%
Democratic Party
$22,483 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 28th congressional district carries an R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and positioning it among the more reliably GOP-leaning seats in the state. Incumbent Carlos Gimenez secured reelection in 2024 with over 64 percent of the vote and advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary, while Democratic nominee Phil Ehr and no-party-affiliation candidate Eddy Rojas represent the general-election opposition. Multiple forecasters classify the race as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the district's structural fundamentals and Florida's broader House map that favors the party. The current trader consensus reflects these factors along with Gimenez's established margins. Late-cycle national shifts in turnout, an unexpected scandal, or health developments involving the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$51,129End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 28th congressional district carries an R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and positioning it among the more reliably GOP-leaning seats in the state. Incumbent Carlos Gimenez secured reelection in 2024 with over 64 percent of the vote and advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary, while Democratic nominee Phil Ehr and no-party-affiliation candidate Eddy Rojas represent the general-election opposition. Multiple forecasters classify the race as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the district's structural fundamentals and Florida's broader House map that favors the party. The current trader consensus reflects these factors along with Gimenez's established margins. Late-cycle national shifts in turnout, an unexpected scandal, or health developments involving the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$51,129End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 28th congressional district carries an R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and positioning it among the more reliably GOP-leaning seats in the state. Incumbent Carlos Gimenez secured reelection in 2024 with over 64 percent of the vote and advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary, while Democratic nominee Phil Ehr and no-party-affiliation candidate Eddy Rojas represent the general-election opposition. Multiple forecasters classify the race as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the district's structural fundamentals and Florida's broader House map that favors the party. The current trader consensus reflects these factors along with Gimenez's established margins. Late-cycle national shifts in turnout, an unexpected scandal, or health developments involving the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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