Mercedes leads the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship by 87 points after 12 rounds, driven by consistent points hauls from Kimi Antonelli and George Russell that include multiple race wins and podiums. Their combined scoring has outpaced Ferrari and McLaren despite recent McLaren upgrades that delivered consecutive victories and left Mercedes acknowledging it no longer fields the outright fastest car. Traders price Mercedes at 86% implied probability because the current gap and double-points reliability create a substantial buffer heading into the final stretch. Ferrari trails at 11.6% while McLaren sits at 1.4%, reflecting limited realistic paths for either to close the deficit without sustained Mercedes reliability issues or major late-season performance swings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMercedes 86%
Ferrari 11.6%
McLaren 1.4%
Red Bull Racing <1%
$28,529,833 Vol.
$28,529,833 Vol.
Dec 5, 2026
Mercedes
86%
Ferrari
12%
McLaren
1%
Red Bull Racing
<1%
Aston Martin
<1%
Williams
<1%
Audi
<1%
Cadillac
<1%
Racing Bulls
<1%
Haas
<1%
Alpine
<1%
Mercedes 86%
Ferrari 11.6%
McLaren 1.4%
Red Bull Racing <1%
$28,529,833 Vol.
$28,529,833 Vol.
Dec 5, 2026
Mercedes
$1,062,979 Vol.
86%
Ferrari
$769,436 Vol.
12%
McLaren
$1,782,824 Vol.
1%
Red Bull Racing
$943,492 Vol.
<1%
Aston Martin
$3,297,800 Vol.
<1%
Williams
$3,809,174 Vol.
<1%
Audi
$3,245,193 Vol.
<1%
Cadillac
$3,708,658 Vol.
<1%
Racing Bulls
$3,242,273 Vol.
<1%
Haas
$3,317,067 Vol.
<1%
Alpine
$3,350,937 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes leads the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship by 87 points after 12 rounds, driven by consistent points hauls from Kimi Antonelli and George Russell that include multiple race wins and podiums. Their combined scoring has outpaced Ferrari and McLaren despite recent McLaren upgrades that delivered consecutive victories and left Mercedes acknowledging it no longer fields the outright fastest car. Traders price Mercedes at 86% implied probability because the current gap and double-points reliability create a substantial buffer heading into the final stretch. Ferrari trails at 11.6% while McLaren sits at 1.4%, reflecting limited realistic paths for either to close the deficit without sustained Mercedes reliability issues or major late-season performance swings.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Volume
$28,529,833End Date
Dec 6, 2026Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes leads the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship by 87 points after 12 rounds, driven by consistent points hauls from Kimi Antonelli and George Russell that include multiple race wins and podiums. Their combined scoring has outpaced Ferrari and McLaren despite recent McLaren upgrades that delivered consecutive victories and left Mercedes acknowledging it no longer fields the outright fastest car. Traders price Mercedes at 86% implied probability because the current gap and double-points reliability create a substantial buffer heading into the final stretch. Ferrari trails at 11.6% while McLaren sits at 1.4%, reflecting limited realistic paths for either to close the deficit without sustained Mercedes reliability issues or major late-season performance swings.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Volume
$28,529,833End Date
Dec 6, 2026Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes leads the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship by 87 points after 12 rounds, driven by consistent points hauls from Kimi Antonelli and George Russell that include multiple race wins and podiums. Their combined scoring has outpaced Ferrari and McLaren despite recent McLaren upgrades that delivered consecutive victories and left Mercedes acknowledging it no longer fields the outright fastest car. Traders price Mercedes at 86% implied probability because the current gap and double-points reliability create a substantial buffer heading into the final stretch. Ferrari trails at 11.6% while McLaren sits at 1.4%, reflecting limited realistic paths for either to close the deficit without sustained Mercedes reliability issues or major late-season performance swings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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