Elon Musk’s variable posting cadence on X drives the tight clustering of probabilities around the 200-259 tweet range for the week of August 25–September 1. Historical weekly volumes fluctuate with news cycles, company milestones, and personal engagement, creating a broad distribution where no single bin exceeds 13.5 percent implied probability. Traders weigh consistent daily output against potential spikes from product announcements or political commentary, while quieter periods could push totals lower. Upcoming Tesla or SpaceX updates and any late-August developments remain key swing factors that could shift momentum across the closely contested bins before the period ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200-219 14%
220-239 14%
240-259 13%
180-199 12%
$88,554 Vol.
$88,554 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
7%
160-179
9%
180-199
12%
200-219
14%
220-239
14%
240-259
13%
260-279
10%
280-299
8%
300-319
5%
320-339
3%
340-359
2%
360-379
2%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500+
<1%
200-219 14%
220-239 14%
240-259 13%
180-199 12%
$88,554 Vol.
$88,554 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
<20
$3,571 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$2,571 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$1,571 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$20,117 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$4,241 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$6,899 Vol.
1%
120-139
$6,299 Vol.
3%
140-159
$1,474 Vol.
7%
160-179
$1,631 Vol.
9%
180-199
$454 Vol.
12%
200-219
$1,176 Vol.
14%
220-239
$3,587 Vol.
14%
240-259
$3,099 Vol.
13%
260-279
$2,253 Vol.
10%
280-299
$2,465 Vol.
8%
300-319
$3,897 Vol.
5%
320-339
$1,774 Vol.
3%
340-359
$1,278 Vol.
2%
360-379
$2,315 Vol.
2%
380-399
$2,157 Vol.
1%
400-419
$2,451 Vol.
1%
420-439
$1,973 Vol.
1%
440-459
$1,351 Vol.
1%
460-479
$1,276 Vol.
1%
480-499
$2,120 Vol.
1%
500+
$6,975 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s variable posting cadence on X drives the tight clustering of probabilities around the 200-259 tweet range for the week of August 25–September 1. Historical weekly volumes fluctuate with news cycles, company milestones, and personal engagement, creating a broad distribution where no single bin exceeds 13.5 percent implied probability. Traders weigh consistent daily output against potential spikes from product announcements or political commentary, while quieter periods could push totals lower. Upcoming Tesla or SpaceX updates and any late-August developments remain key swing factors that could shift momentum across the closely contested bins before the period ends.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$88,554End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s variable posting cadence on X drives the tight clustering of probabilities around the 200-259 tweet range for the week of August 25–September 1. Historical weekly volumes fluctuate with news cycles, company milestones, and personal engagement, creating a broad distribution where no single bin exceeds 13.5 percent implied probability. Traders weigh consistent daily output against potential spikes from product announcements or political commentary, while quieter periods could push totals lower. Upcoming Tesla or SpaceX updates and any late-August developments remain key swing factors that could shift momentum across the closely contested bins before the period ends.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$88,554End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s variable posting cadence on X drives the tight clustering of probabilities around the 200-259 tweet range for the week of August 25–September 1. Historical weekly volumes fluctuate with news cycles, company milestones, and personal engagement, creating a broad distribution where no single bin exceeds 13.5 percent implied probability. Traders weigh consistent daily output against potential spikes from product announcements or political commentary, while quieter periods could push totals lower. Upcoming Tesla or SpaceX updates and any late-August developments remain key swing factors that could shift momentum across the closely contested bins before the period ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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