**Trump’s elevated Truth Social output during the August 25–September 1 window stems primarily from sustained presidential activity amid the ongoing Iran conflict and related foreign-policy measures.** As of late August 2026, his daily posting rate has averaged roughly 22–24 posts (including originals, reposts, and quotes), with documented periods exceeding 27 per day. This pace, if sustained, projects well above 150 weekly posts and frequently crosses 200 when late-night bursts or clusters occur. Recent catalysts include expanded economic actions targeting Iran, tariff developments, staff announcements, and domestic messaging tied to midterms. Verified examples from the period show rapid-fire sequences—such as 46 posts in two hours—and recurring Iran-focused content, consistent with patterns observed during periods of international friction. These elements have driven trader consensus toward the 200+ bin at 69.5 percent, while the narrower 180–199 range retains secondary probability at 23.5 percent. Historical weekly totals during comparable high-activity stretches support this positioning, though outcomes remain sensitive to any short-term moderation in posting volume.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200+ 69%
180-199 24%
160-179 7%
120-139 4.1%
$14,146 Vol.
$14,146 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
3%
160-179
7%
180-199
24%
200+
69%
200+ 69%
180-199 24%
160-179 7%
120-139 4.1%
$14,146 Vol.
$14,146 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
80-99
$492 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$381 Vol.
1%
120-139
$444 Vol.
4%
140-159
$1,203 Vol.
3%
160-179
$1,293 Vol.
7%
180-199
$2,145 Vol.
24%
200+
$5,626 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trump’s elevated Truth Social output during the August 25–September 1 window stems primarily from sustained presidential activity amid the ongoing Iran conflict and related foreign-policy measures.** As of late August 2026, his daily posting rate has averaged roughly 22–24 posts (including originals, reposts, and quotes), with documented periods exceeding 27 per day. This pace, if sustained, projects well above 150 weekly posts and frequently crosses 200 when late-night bursts or clusters occur.
Recent catalysts include expanded economic actions targeting Iran, tariff developments, staff announcements, and domestic messaging tied to midterms. Verified examples from the period show rapid-fire sequences—such as 46 posts in two hours—and recurring Iran-focused content, consistent with patterns observed during periods of international friction. These elements have driven trader consensus toward the 200+ bin at 69.5 percent, while the narrower 180–199 range retains secondary probability at 23.5 percent. Historical weekly totals during comparable high-activity stretches support this positioning, though outcomes remain sensitive to any short-term moderation in posting volume.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$14,146End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trump’s elevated Truth Social output during the August 25–September 1 window stems primarily from sustained presidential activity amid the ongoing Iran conflict and related foreign-policy measures.** As of late August 2026, his daily posting rate has averaged roughly 22–24 posts (including originals, reposts, and quotes), with documented periods exceeding 27 per day. This pace, if sustained, projects well above 150 weekly posts and frequently crosses 200 when late-night bursts or clusters occur.
Recent catalysts include expanded economic actions targeting Iran, tariff developments, staff announcements, and domestic messaging tied to midterms. Verified examples from the period show rapid-fire sequences—such as 46 posts in two hours—and recurring Iran-focused content, consistent with patterns observed during periods of international friction. These elements have driven trader consensus toward the 200+ bin at 69.5 percent, while the narrower 180–199 range retains secondary probability at 23.5 percent. Historical weekly totals during comparable high-activity stretches support this positioning, though outcomes remain sensitive to any short-term moderation in posting volume.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$14,146End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trump’s elevated Truth Social output during the August 25–September 1 window stems primarily from sustained presidential activity amid the ongoing Iran conflict and related foreign-policy measures.** As of late August 2026, his daily posting rate has averaged roughly 22–24 posts (including originals, reposts, and quotes), with documented periods exceeding 27 per day. This pace, if sustained, projects well above 150 weekly posts and frequently crosses 200 when late-night bursts or clusters occur. Recent catalysts include expanded economic actions targeting Iran, tariff developments, staff announcements, and domestic messaging tied to midterms. Verified examples from the period show rapid-fire sequences—such as 46 posts in two hours—and recurring Iran-focused content, consistent with patterns observed during periods of international friction. These elements have driven trader consensus toward the 200+ bin at 69.5 percent, while the narrower 180–199 range retains secondary probability at 23.5 percent. Historical weekly totals during comparable high-activity stretches support this positioning, though outcomes remain sensitive to any short-term moderation in posting volume.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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