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Politics·Mexico

Chihuahua Governor Election Winner

icon for Chihuahua Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Chihuahua Governor Election Winner

Marco Bonilla Mendoza 37%

Cruz Pérez Cuéllar 31%

Andrea Chávez Treviño 24%

Julián LeBarón 11.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Marco Bonilla Mendoza 37%

Cruz Pérez Cuéllar 31%

Andrea Chávez Treviño 24%

Julián LeBarón 11.1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Marco Bonilla Mendoza

Marco Bonilla Mendoza

$1,880 Vol.

37%

icon for Cruz Pérez Cuéllar

Cruz Pérez Cuéllar

$2,499 Vol.

31%

icon for Andrea Chávez Treviño

Andrea Chávez Treviño

$1,916 Vol.

24%

icon for Julián LeBarón

Julián LeBarón

$456 Vol.

9%

icon for Francisco Sánchez Villegas

Francisco Sánchez Villegas

$211 Vol.

5%

icon for Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant

Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant

$311 Vol.

4%

icon for Jesús Valenciano García

Jesús Valenciano García

$251 Vol.

2%

icon for Gilberto Loya Chávez

Gilberto Loya Chávez

$251 Vol.

2%

icon for Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez

Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez

$213 Vol.

1%

icon for Martín Chaparro Payán

Martín Chaparro Payán

$251 Vol.

1%

icon for Alfredo Lozoya Santillán

Alfredo Lozoya Santillán

$221 Vol.

1%

icon for Daniela Álvarez Hernández

Daniela Álvarez Hernández

$273 Vol.

1%

icon for Mario Vázquez Robles

Mario Vázquez Robles

$221 Vol.

<1%

icon for Santiago de la Peña Grajeda

Santiago de la Peña Grajeda

$271 Vol.

<1%

icon for Graciela Ortiz González

Graciela Ortiz González

$231 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rosana Díaz Reyes

Rosana Díaz Reyes

$269 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Marco Bonilla Mendoza (PAN) and Cruz Pérez Cuéllar (Morena-PT-PVEM) lead the field in recent polling for the June 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial election, with Bonilla at 36.5% and Pérez Cuéllar at 30% implied probability among traders. Bonilla secured the PAN nomination after strong showings in internal surveys and his record as Chihuahua capital mayor, while the Morena coalition's internal contest between Pérez Cuéllar (Ciudad Juárez mayor on leave) and Andrea Chávez Treviño (senator on leave) remains unsettled, with Pérez Cuéllar ahead in party preference measures. Multiple July–August 2026 surveys show Morena holding a modest statewide edge over PAN, though head-to-head results tighten or reverse depending on the Morena nominee; low approval for incumbent PAN Governor Maru Campos and voter focus on security, infrastructure, and state services keep the contest competitive. Julián LeBarón and other lower-probability options trail, with the outcome hinging on final coalition alignments and any late shifts in candidate positioning before the formal campaign period.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$9,726
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Marco Bonilla Mendoza (PAN) and Cruz Pérez Cuéllar (Morena-PT-PVEM) lead the field in recent polling for the June 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial election, with Bonilla at 36.5% and Pérez Cuéllar at 30% implied probability among traders. Bonilla secured the PAN nomination after strong showings in internal surveys and his record as Chihuahua capital mayor, while the Morena coalition's internal contest between Pérez Cuéllar (Ciudad Juárez mayor on leave) and Andrea Chávez Treviño (senator on leave) remains unsettled, with Pérez Cuéllar ahead in party preference measures. Multiple July–August 2026 surveys show Morena holding a modest statewide edge over PAN, though head-to-head results tighten or reverse depending on the Morena nominee; low approval for incumbent PAN Governor Maru Campos and voter focus on security, infrastructure, and state services keep the contest competitive. Julián LeBarón and other lower-probability options trail, with the outcome hinging on final coalition alignments and any late shifts in candidate positioning before the formal campaign period.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$9,726
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Chihuahua Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marco Bonilla Mendoza" at 37%, followed by "Cruz Pérez Cuéllar" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Chihuahua Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Chihuahua Governor Election Winner," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Chihuahua Governor Election Winner" is "Marco Bonilla Mendoza" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cruz Pérez Cuéllar" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Chihuahua Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.