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Politics·Mexico

Campeche Governor Election Winner

icon for Campeche Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Campeche Governor Election Winner

Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus 81%

Eliseo Fernández Montúfar 7.9%

Gerardo Sánchez Sansores 3.3%

Martina Kantún Can 3.0%

Polymarket

$18,846 Vol.

Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus 81%

Eliseo Fernández Montúfar 7.9%

Gerardo Sánchez Sansores 3.3%

Martina Kantún Can 3.0%

Polymarket

$18,846 Vol.

icon for Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus

Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus

$7,660 Vol.

81%

icon for Eliseo Fernández Montúfar

Eliseo Fernández Montúfar

$597 Vol.

8%

icon for Gerardo Sánchez Sansores

Gerardo Sánchez Sansores

$457 Vol.

3%

icon for Martina Kantún Can

Martina Kantún Can

$510 Vol.

3%

icon for Biby Rabelo de la Torre

Biby Rabelo de la Torre

$395 Vol.

1%

icon for Nelly Márquez Zapata

Nelly Márquez Zapata

$388 Vol.

1%

icon for Liz Hernández Romero

Liz Hernández Romero

$401 Vol.

1%

icon for Ricardo Medina Farfán

Ricardo Medina Farfán

$458 Vol.

1%

icon for Aníbal Ostoa Ortega

Aníbal Ostoa Ortega

$558 Vol.

1%

icon for Yolanda Valladares Valle

Yolanda Valladares Valle

$385 Vol.

1%

icon for Salvador Farías González

Salvador Farías González

$417 Vol.

1%

icon for Pablo Angulo Briceño

Pablo Angulo Briceño

$399 Vol.

1%

icon for Christian Castro Bello

Christian Castro Bello

$418 Vol.

1%

icon for Rosario Cruz Hernández

Rosario Cruz Hernández

$475 Vol.

1%

icon for Daniel Barreda Pavón

Daniel Barreda Pavón

$428 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Ucán Yam

Carlos Ucán Yam

$416 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rocío Abreu Artiñano

Rocío Abreu Artiñano

$405 Vol.

<1%

icon for Andrés Fernández del Valle

Andrés Fernández del Valle

$387 Vol.

<1%

icon for Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora

Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora

$480 Vol.

<1%

icon for Armando Toledo Jamit

Armando Toledo Jamit

$475 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ariana Rejón Lara

Ariana Rejón Lara

$461 Vol.

<1%

icon for Laura Baqueiro Ramos

Laura Baqueiro Ramos

$458 Vol.

<1%

icon for Emilio Lara Calderón

Emilio Lara Calderón

$488 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dulce Dorantes Cervera

Dulce Dorantes Cervera

$460 Vol.

<1%

icon for Francisco Farías Bailón

Francisco Farías Bailón

$488 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paul Arce Ontiveros

Paul Arce Ontiveros

$385 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Campeche governor race as the clear frontrunner for the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition nomination ahead of the June 2027 election. As mayor of Ciudad del Carmen with leave granted in June 2026, he secured early Morena backing from Governor Layda Sansores and dominates internal party surveys at 38–45%. Recent polls place the Morena alliance narrowly ahead of Movimiento Ciudadano in statewide preference, with head-to-head matchups favoring him over Eliseo Fernández Montúfar or other opposition figures. Fractures within the ruling bloc, including Gerardo Sánchez Sansores’s PT registration, have not altered the consensus positioning. Low probabilities for remaining candidates reflect limited polling support and weaker party machinery.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$18,846
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:21 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Campeche governor race as the clear frontrunner for the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition nomination ahead of the June 2027 election. As mayor of Ciudad del Carmen with leave granted in June 2026, he secured early Morena backing from Governor Layda Sansores and dominates internal party surveys at 38–45%. Recent polls place the Morena alliance narrowly ahead of Movimiento Ciudadano in statewide preference, with head-to-head matchups favoring him over Eliseo Fernández Montúfar or other opposition figures. Fractures within the ruling bloc, including Gerardo Sánchez Sansores’s PT registration, have not altered the consensus positioning. Low probabilities for remaining candidates reflect limited polling support and weaker party machinery.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$18,846
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:21 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Campeche Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus" at 81%, followed by "Eliseo Fernández Montúfar" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Campeche Governor Election Winner" has generated $18.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Campeche Governor Election Winner," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Campeche Governor Election Winner" is "Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Eliseo Fernández Montúfar" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Campeche Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.