Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Campeche gubernatorial market due to his designation as Morena’s coordinator for the 2027 race and consistent polling leads. Current Governor Layda Sansores has endorsed him publicly, reinforcing party unity in a state where Morena maintains structural advantages. Recent surveys, including those released in the past week by Statistical Research Corporation and C&E México, show him extending his margin over challengers such as Eliseo Fernández Montúfar of Movimiento Ciudadano. The election is scheduled for June 2027, leaving time for shifts, yet trader consensus reflects these early indicators of frontrunner status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPablo Gutiérrez Lazarus 81%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar 7.8%
Gerardo Sánchez Sansores 3.3%
Martina Kantún Can 3.0%
$18,846 Vol.
$18,846 Vol.
Jun 6, 2027
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus
81%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar
8%
Gerardo Sánchez Sansores
3%
Martina Kantún Can
3%
Liz Hernández Romero
1%
Biby Rabelo de la Torre
1%
Ricardo Medina Farfán
1%
Nelly Márquez Zapata
1%
Aníbal Ostoa Ortega
1%
Yolanda Valladares Valle
1%
Pablo Angulo Briceño
1%
Christian Castro Bello
1%
Rosario Cruz Hernández
<1%
Daniel Barreda Pavón
<1%
Salvador Farías González
<1%
Carlos Ucán Yam
<1%
Rocío Abreu Artiñano
<1%
Andrés Fernández del Valle
<1%
Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora
<1%
Armando Toledo Jamit
<1%
Ariana Rejón Lara
<1%
Laura Baqueiro Ramos
<1%
Emilio Lara Calderón
<1%
Dulce Dorantes Cervera
<1%
Francisco Farías Bailón
<1%
Paul Arce Ontiveros
<1%
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus 81%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar 7.8%
Gerardo Sánchez Sansores 3.3%
Martina Kantún Can 3.0%
$18,846 Vol.
$18,846 Vol.
Jun 6, 2027
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus
$7,660 Vol.
81%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar
$597 Vol.
8%
Gerardo Sánchez Sansores
$457 Vol.
3%
Martina Kantún Can
$510 Vol.
3%
Liz Hernández Romero
$401 Vol.
1%
Biby Rabelo de la Torre
$395 Vol.
1%
Ricardo Medina Farfán
$458 Vol.
1%
Nelly Márquez Zapata
$388 Vol.
1%
Aníbal Ostoa Ortega
$558 Vol.
1%
Yolanda Valladares Valle
$385 Vol.
1%
Pablo Angulo Briceño
$399 Vol.
1%
Christian Castro Bello
$418 Vol.
1%
Rosario Cruz Hernández
$475 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Barreda Pavón
$428 Vol.
<1%
Salvador Farías González
$417 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Ucán Yam
$416 Vol.
<1%
Rocío Abreu Artiñano
$405 Vol.
<1%
Andrés Fernández del Valle
$387 Vol.
<1%
Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora
$480 Vol.
<1%
Armando Toledo Jamit
$475 Vol.
<1%
Ariana Rejón Lara
$461 Vol.
<1%
Laura Baqueiro Ramos
$458 Vol.
<1%
Emilio Lara Calderón
$488 Vol.
<1%
Dulce Dorantes Cervera
$460 Vol.
<1%
Francisco Farías Bailón
$488 Vol.
<1%
Paul Arce Ontiveros
$385 Vol.
<1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Campeche gubernatorial market due to his designation as Morena’s coordinator for the 2027 race and consistent polling leads. Current Governor Layda Sansores has endorsed him publicly, reinforcing party unity in a state where Morena maintains structural advantages. Recent surveys, including those released in the past week by Statistical Research Corporation and C&E México, show him extending his margin over challengers such as Eliseo Fernández Montúfar of Movimiento Ciudadano. The election is scheduled for June 2027, leaving time for shifts, yet trader consensus reflects these early indicators of frontrunner status.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:21 AM ET
Volume
$18,846End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Campeche gubernatorial market due to his designation as Morena’s coordinator for the 2027 race and consistent polling leads. Current Governor Layda Sansores has endorsed him publicly, reinforcing party unity in a state where Morena maintains structural advantages. Recent surveys, including those released in the past week by Statistical Research Corporation and C&E México, show him extending his margin over challengers such as Eliseo Fernández Montúfar of Movimiento Ciudadano. The election is scheduled for June 2027, leaving time for shifts, yet trader consensus reflects these early indicators of frontrunner status.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$18,846End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Campeche gubernatorial market due to his designation as Morena’s coordinator for the 2027 race and consistent polling leads. Current Governor Layda Sansores has endorsed him publicly, reinforcing party unity in a state where Morena maintains structural advantages. Recent surveys, including those released in the past week by Statistical Research Corporation and C&E México, show him extending his margin over challengers such as Eliseo Fernández Montúfar of Movimiento Ciudadano. The election is scheduled for June 2027, leaving time for shifts, yet trader consensus reflects these early indicators of frontrunner status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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