The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 19-23% for Lille, Brest, Toulouse, and Lens as 2026-27 Ligue 1 runner-up reflects PSG’s overwhelming title dominance and the absence of a clear second-tier frontrunner after extensive summer turnover. Lens, who finished second and won the Coupe de France last season, face a rebuild under new coach Dino Toppmöller following the departure of Pierre Sage and key players including Mamadou Sangaré. Lille, with Davide Ancelotti installed, and teams such as Marseille and Monaco must navigate DNCG financial constraints, player sales, and European commitments that compress the chasing pack. Early matchday results and pre-season models show comparable squad strengths among these sides, sustaining market equilibrium until sustained form or further roster developments create separation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLille 23%
Brest 22%
Toulouse 22%
Lens 22%
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2027
Lille
23%
Brest
22%
Toulouse
22%
Lens
22%
Troyes
19%
Marseille
18%
Monaco
16%
Paris Saint-Germain
14%
Rennes
12%
Lyon
11%
Strasbourg
6%
Paris FC
5%
Nice
3%
Angers
3%
Auxerre
3%
Le Havre
3%
Le Mans
3%
Lorient
3%
Lille 23%
Brest 22%
Toulouse 22%
Lens 22%
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2027
Lille
$0 Vol.
23%
Brest
$0 Vol.
22%
Toulouse
$0 Vol.
22%
Lens
$0 Vol.
22%
Troyes
$0 Vol.
19%
Marseille
$0 Vol.
18%
Monaco
$37 Vol.
16%
Paris Saint-Germain
$0 Vol.
14%
Rennes
$0 Vol.
12%
Lyon
$18 Vol.
11%
Strasbourg
$0 Vol.
6%
Paris FC
$0 Vol.
5%
Nice
$0 Vol.
3%
Angers
$0 Vol.
3%
Auxerre
$0 Vol.
3%
Le Havre
$0 Vol.
3%
Le Mans
$0 Vol.
3%
Lorient
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 19-23% for Lille, Brest, Toulouse, and Lens as 2026-27 Ligue 1 runner-up reflects PSG’s overwhelming title dominance and the absence of a clear second-tier frontrunner after extensive summer turnover. Lens, who finished second and won the Coupe de France last season, face a rebuild under new coach Dino Toppmöller following the departure of Pierre Sage and key players including Mamadou Sangaré. Lille, with Davide Ancelotti installed, and teams such as Marseille and Monaco must navigate DNCG financial constraints, player sales, and European commitments that compress the chasing pack. Early matchday results and pre-season models show comparable squad strengths among these sides, sustaining market equilibrium until sustained form or further roster developments create separation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:22 PM ET
Volume
$55End Date
Aug 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.ligue1.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 19-23% for Lille, Brest, Toulouse, and Lens as 2026-27 Ligue 1 runner-up reflects PSG’s overwhelming title dominance and the absence of a clear second-tier frontrunner after extensive summer turnover. Lens, who finished second and won the Coupe de France last season, face a rebuild under new coach Dino Toppmöller following the departure of Pierre Sage and key players including Mamadou Sangaré. Lille, with Davide Ancelotti installed, and teams such as Marseille and Monaco must navigate DNCG financial constraints, player sales, and European commitments that compress the chasing pack. Early matchday results and pre-season models show comparable squad strengths among these sides, sustaining market equilibrium until sustained form or further roster developments create separation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$55End Date
Aug 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.ligue1.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 19-23% for Lille, Brest, Toulouse, and Lens as 2026-27 Ligue 1 runner-up reflects PSG’s overwhelming title dominance and the absence of a clear second-tier frontrunner after extensive summer turnover. Lens, who finished second and won the Coupe de France last season, face a rebuild under new coach Dino Toppmöller following the departure of Pierre Sage and key players including Mamadou Sangaré. Lille, with Davide Ancelotti installed, and teams such as Marseille and Monaco must navigate DNCG financial constraints, player sales, and European commitments that compress the chasing pack. Early matchday results and pre-season models show comparable squad strengths among these sides, sustaining market equilibrium until sustained form or further roster developments create separation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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