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icon for 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner
Politics·BARMM

2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner

icon for 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner
Politics·BARMM

2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner

BFP 57%

UBJP 40%

BGC 1.0%

Election Postponed/Canceled <1%

Polymarket

$77,555 Vol.

BFP 57%

UBJP 40%

BGC 1.0%

Election Postponed/Canceled <1%

Polymarket

$77,555 Vol.

BFP

$14,141 Vol.

57%

UBJP

$47,370 Vol.

40%

BGC

$1,066 Vol.

1%

Election Postponed/Canceled

$921 Vol.

1%

PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY

$743 Vol.

<1%

ROHOSUMA

$1,175 Vol.

<1%

LBIAA

$967 Vol.

<1%

DTLO

$738 Vol.

<1%

TPWC

$541 Vol.

<1%

RSL

$552 Vol.

<1%

ABOT

$671 Vol.

<1%

BAPA

$756 Vol.

<1%

BEST PARTY

$709 Vol.

<1%

ISAMA

$662 Vol.

<1%

MAHARDIKA

$607 Vol.

<1%

MORO AKO

$662 Vol.

<1%

MUSHAWARA

$701 Vol.

<1%

PBB

$596 Vol.

<1%

RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY

$637 Vol.

<1%

C4P

$789 Vol.

<1%

RSEU

$607 Vol.

<1%

THE ROYALS

$627 Vol.

<1%

ROHOSUPA

$642 Vol.

<1%

ISLPI

$673 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).Recent defections of local officials and legislators from the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) to the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) have strengthened BFP positioning ahead of the September 14, 2026, vote, including the August swearing-in of Interim Chief Minister Abdulraof Macacua as BFP chair. These shifts, alongside BFP securing two unopposed district seats, have narrowed the gap in trader consensus between the MILF-linked UBJP and the broader BFP coalition. A fragmented field of over a dozen regional parliamentary parties, limited public polling, and ongoing security concerns in the Bangsamoro Autonomous Region keep implied probabilities closely matched, with potential for further realignments or campaign developments to influence outcomes before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.

If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Volume
$77,555
End Date
Sep 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).Recent defections of local officials and legislators from the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) to the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) have strengthened BFP positioning ahead of the September 14, 2026, vote, including the August swearing-in of Interim Chief Minister Abdulraof Macacua as BFP chair. These shifts, alongside BFP securing two unopposed district seats, have narrowed the gap in trader consensus between the MILF-linked UBJP and the broader BFP coalition. A fragmented field of over a dozen regional parliamentary parties, limited public polling, and ongoing security concerns in the Bangsamoro Autonomous Region keep implied probabilities closely matched, with potential for further realignments or campaign developments to influence outcomes before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.

If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Volume
$77,555
End Date
Sep 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "BFP" at 57%, followed by "UBJP" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner" has generated $77.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner" is "BFP" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "UBJP" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.