Skip to main content
icon for Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
Politics·Democrats

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

icon for Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
Politics·Democrats

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

32% chance
Polymarket
NEW
32% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2028 Democratic primary field features several prominent male contenders, including Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Ossoff, Andy Beshear, and Josh Shapiro, who appear regularly in early polling and media speculation alongside women such as Kamala Harris, Gretchen Whitmer, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Recent national and state surveys show a fragmented race with no dominant candidate, while the DNC’s adjusted calendar emphasizing South Carolina and other diverse early states highlights electability concerns that often favor governors or senators with proven records in contested territory. Trader consensus on a male nominee aligns with the wider pool of viable male options discussed in party circles two years out.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$3,966
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2028 Democratic primary field features several prominent male contenders, including Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Ossoff, Andy Beshear, and Josh Shapiro, who appear regularly in early polling and media speculation alongside women such as Kamala Harris, Gretchen Whitmer, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Recent national and state surveys show a fragmented race with no dominant candidate, while the DNC’s adjusted calendar emphasizing South Carolina and other diverse early states highlights electability concerns that often favor governors or senators with proven records in contested territory. Trader consensus on a male nominee aligns with the wider pool of viable male options discussed in party circles two years out.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$3,966
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Related

icon for Dogecoin Up or Down

Dogecoin Up or Down

50%
Up
icon for Dogecoin Up or Down

Dogecoin Up or Down

50%
Up
icon for BNB Up or Down

BNB Up or Down

August 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

50%
Up

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 32% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 32¢, the market collectively assigns a 32% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?" is 32% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 32% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.