Russian forces have conducted repeated offensive operations toward Hannivka, a settlement north of Dobropillya in Donetsk Oblast, as part of broader efforts to pressure Ukrainian positions in the Pokrovsk direction. Independent assessments indicate Russian units remain several kilometers short of the village, with confirmed advances limited to infiltration attempts and artillery-supported probes rather than consolidated entry. Ukrainian forces have conducted counterattacks and used drones to disrupt mechanized assaults, while Russian claims of nearing or entering the area have not been verified by geolocated evidence. Trader sentiment on entry timelines reflects slow Russian progress amid Ukrainian defensive adaptations and the challenges of advancing through fortified zones. Ongoing summer operations and any shifts in Russian aviation or infantry tactics could influence near-term developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Russia enter Hannivka by...?
Will Russia enter Hannivka by...?
$19,793 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
8%
September 30
64%
December 31
81%
$19,793 Vol.
August 31
$718 Vol.
8%
September 30
$14,119 Vol.
64%
December 31
$4,957 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Hannivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.484596° N, 37.119043° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have conducted repeated offensive operations toward Hannivka, a settlement north of Dobropillya in Donetsk Oblast, as part of broader efforts to pressure Ukrainian positions in the Pokrovsk direction. Independent assessments indicate Russian units remain several kilometers short of the village, with confirmed advances limited to infiltration attempts and artillery-supported probes rather than consolidated entry. Ukrainian forces have conducted counterattacks and used drones to disrupt mechanized assaults, while Russian claims of nearing or entering the area have not been verified by geolocated evidence. Trader sentiment on entry timelines reflects slow Russian progress amid Ukrainian defensive adaptations and the challenges of advancing through fortified zones. Ongoing summer operations and any shifts in Russian aviation or infantry tactics could influence near-term developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Hannivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.484596° N, 37.119043° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:50 PM ET
Volume
$19,793End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Hannivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.484596° N, 37.119043° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have conducted repeated offensive operations toward Hannivka, a settlement north of Dobropillya in Donetsk Oblast, as part of broader efforts to pressure Ukrainian positions in the Pokrovsk direction. Independent assessments indicate Russian units remain several kilometers short of the village, with confirmed advances limited to infiltration attempts and artillery-supported probes rather than consolidated entry. Ukrainian forces have conducted counterattacks and used drones to disrupt mechanized assaults, while Russian claims of nearing or entering the area have not been verified by geolocated evidence. Trader sentiment on entry timelines reflects slow Russian progress amid Ukrainian defensive adaptations and the challenges of advancing through fortified zones. Ongoing summer operations and any shifts in Russian aviation or infantry tactics could influence near-term developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Hannivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.484596° N, 37.119043° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Volume
$19,793End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have conducted repeated offensive operations toward Hannivka, a settlement north of Dobropillya in Donetsk Oblast, as part of broader efforts to pressure Ukrainian positions in the Pokrovsk direction. Independent assessments indicate Russian units remain several kilometers short of the village, with confirmed advances limited to infiltration attempts and artillery-supported probes rather than consolidated entry. Ukrainian forces have conducted counterattacks and used drones to disrupt mechanized assaults, while Russian claims of nearing or entering the area have not been verified by geolocated evidence. Trader sentiment on entry timelines reflects slow Russian progress amid Ukrainian defensive adaptations and the challenges of advancing through fortified zones. Ongoing summer operations and any shifts in Russian aviation or infantry tactics could influence near-term developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions