Microsoft's fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter results, released July 29, drove the primary catalyst for recent share-price momentum, with $90 billion in revenue (up 18% year-over-year), Azure growth accelerating to 43%, and commercial remaining performance obligations surging 84% to a $678 billion backlog. Full-year revenue reached $331.8 billion amid sustained AI demand for Microsoft Cloud, which hit $59.3 billion quarterly. Traders are weighing elevated capital expenditures—$41 billion in the quarter—against resilient free cash flow of $19.6 billion and management guidance for continued positive cash generation in fiscal 2027. As of August 24, shares trade near $487 with a roughly $3.6 trillion market capitalization, within a 52-week range of approximately $349–$554 and ahead of the next earnings release expected in November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$10,490 Vol.
↑ $532.50
5%
↑ $525
4%
↑ $517.50
8%
↑ $510
14%
↑ $502.50
35%
↑ $495
64%
↓ $480
59%
↓ $472.50
30%
↓ $465
12%
↓ $457.50
6%
↓ $450
8%
↓ $442.50
7%
↓ $435
5%
$10,490 Vol.
↑ $532.50
5%
↑ $525
4%
↑ $517.50
8%
↑ $510
14%
↑ $502.50
35%
↑ $495
64%
↓ $480
59%
↓ $472.50
30%
↓ $465
12%
↓ $457.50
6%
↓ $450
8%
↓ $442.50
7%
↓ $435
5%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Microsoft's fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter results, released July 29, drove the primary catalyst for recent share-price momentum, with $90 billion in revenue (up 18% year-over-year), Azure growth accelerating to 43%, and commercial remaining performance obligations surging 84% to a $678 billion backlog. Full-year revenue reached $331.8 billion amid sustained AI demand for Microsoft Cloud, which hit $59.3 billion quarterly. Traders are weighing elevated capital expenditures—$41 billion in the quarter—against resilient free cash flow of $19.6 billion and management guidance for continued positive cash generation in fiscal 2027. As of August 24, shares trade near $487 with a roughly $3.6 trillion market capitalization, within a 52-week range of approximately $349–$554 and ahead of the next earnings release expected in November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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