Microsoft’s fiscal fourth-quarter 2026 results, released July 29, continue to anchor trader sentiment for the week of August 24, with revenue rising 18% to $90 billion, Azure accelerating to 43% growth, and commercial remaining performance obligations surging 84% to a record $678 billion. This backlog, representing roughly two years of sales at current run rates with about 30% converting within twelve months, underscores durable AI-driven demand and has supported share-price resilience near $489 amid broader tech volatility. Post-earnings gains of more than 20% through mid-August reflect market-implied confidence in cloud margins and capital-expenditure discipline following an accounting change that trimmed calendar-2026 capex guidance to approximately $175 billion. Analysts maintain consensus price targets near $564–570, while upcoming catalysts remain limited to routine macroeconomic data and any incremental commentary on data-center throughput.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$10,507 Vol.
↑ $532.50
5%
↑ $525
4%
↑ $517.50
8%
↑ $510
14%
↑ $502.50
32%
↑ $495
60%
↓ $480
63%
↓ $472.50
32%
↓ $465
13%
↓ $457.50
6%
↓ $450
8%
↓ $442.50
7%
↓ $435
3%
$10,507 Vol.
↑ $532.50
5%
↑ $525
4%
↑ $517.50
8%
↑ $510
14%
↑ $502.50
32%
↑ $495
60%
↓ $480
63%
↓ $472.50
32%
↓ $465
13%
↓ $457.50
6%
↓ $450
8%
↓ $442.50
7%
↓ $435
3%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Microsoft’s fiscal fourth-quarter 2026 results, released July 29, continue to anchor trader sentiment for the week of August 24, with revenue rising 18% to $90 billion, Azure accelerating to 43% growth, and commercial remaining performance obligations surging 84% to a record $678 billion. This backlog, representing roughly two years of sales at current run rates with about 30% converting within twelve months, underscores durable AI-driven demand and has supported share-price resilience near $489 amid broader tech volatility. Post-earnings gains of more than 20% through mid-August reflect market-implied confidence in cloud margins and capital-expenditure discipline following an accounting change that trimmed calendar-2026 capex guidance to approximately $175 billion. Analysts maintain consensus price targets near $564–570, while upcoming catalysts remain limited to routine macroeconomic data and any incremental commentary on data-center throughput.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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