**SB 1387, the bill to require state agencies to treat Jewish identity as an ethnicity option alongside religion in demographic data collection, has cleared the Senate unanimously and multiple Assembly committees with broad support.** Authored by Democratic Sen. Henry Stern and backed by Jewish California, the measure addresses gaps in tracking ancestry, culture, and hate-crime data for a population where many view Jewishness primarily through ethnic or cultural lenses rather than religion alone. Recent committee votes (including 15-0 and 12-0 margins) and a third-reading amendment in late August signal steady momentum in the Democratic-led legislature. With final floor votes possible before the session ends and no major organized opposition reported, traders see enactment by year-end as the likely outcome, though any last-minute procedural delays or amendments could still affect the timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated77% chance
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NEW
Dec 31, 2026
77% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**SB 1387, the bill to require state agencies to treat Jewish identity as an ethnicity option alongside religion in demographic data collection, has cleared the Senate unanimously and multiple Assembly committees with broad support.** Authored by Democratic Sen. Henry Stern and backed by Jewish California, the measure addresses gaps in tracking ancestry, culture, and hate-crime data for a population where many view Jewishness primarily through ethnic or cultural lenses rather than religion alone. Recent committee votes (including 15-0 and 12-0 margins) and a third-reading amendment in late August signal steady momentum in the Democratic-led legislature.
With final floor votes possible before the session ends and no major organized opposition reported, traders see enactment by year-end as the likely outcome, though any last-minute procedural delays or amendments could still affect the timeline.
California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Volume
$2,063End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**SB 1387, the bill to require state agencies to treat Jewish identity as an ethnicity option alongside religion in demographic data collection, has cleared the Senate unanimously and multiple Assembly committees with broad support.** Authored by Democratic Sen. Henry Stern and backed by Jewish California, the measure addresses gaps in tracking ancestry, culture, and hate-crime data for a population where many view Jewishness primarily through ethnic or cultural lenses rather than religion alone. Recent committee votes (including 15-0 and 12-0 margins) and a third-reading amendment in late August signal steady momentum in the Democratic-led legislature.
With final floor votes possible before the session ends and no major organized opposition reported, traders see enactment by year-end as the likely outcome, though any last-minute procedural delays or amendments could still affect the timeline.
California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,063End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**SB 1387, the bill to require state agencies to treat Jewish identity as an ethnicity option alongside religion in demographic data collection, has cleared the Senate unanimously and multiple Assembly committees with broad support.** Authored by Democratic Sen. Henry Stern and backed by Jewish California, the measure addresses gaps in tracking ancestry, culture, and hate-crime data for a population where many view Jewishness primarily through ethnic or cultural lenses rather than religion alone. Recent committee votes (including 15-0 and 12-0 margins) and a third-reading amendment in late August signal steady momentum in the Democratic-led legislature. With final floor votes possible before the session ends and no major organized opposition reported, traders see enactment by year-end as the likely outcome, though any last-minute procedural delays or amendments could still affect the timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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