Anthropic's accelerated IPO preparations, including its June confidential S-1 filing, $65 billion May funding round at a $965 billion valuation, and banker-led efforts targeting a potential autumn 2026 listing with banks like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, drive the 94.5% market-implied odds favoring it over OpenAI. Strong revenue momentum, with annualized run rates exceeding $65 billion, supports this trader consensus backed by real capital. OpenAI, despite its own June filing and $122 billion March raise, has shifted toward a 2027 timeline per CFO comments, reflecting internal priorities and market caution. Realistic challenges include SEC review delays, sudden shifts in capital market conditions, or OpenAI accelerating if its $40 billion-plus run rate inflects sharply.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAnthropic
94% chance
$319,586 Vol.
$319,586 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
Anthropic
94% chance
$319,586 Vol.
$319,586 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's accelerated IPO preparations, including its June confidential S-1 filing, $65 billion May funding round at a $965 billion valuation, and banker-led efforts targeting a potential autumn 2026 listing with banks like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, drive the 94.5% market-implied odds favoring it over OpenAI. Strong revenue momentum, with annualized run rates exceeding $65 billion, supports this trader consensus backed by real capital. OpenAI, despite its own June filing and $122 billion March raise, has shifted toward a 2027 timeline per CFO comments, reflecting internal priorities and market caution. Realistic challenges include SEC review delays, sudden shifts in capital market conditions, or OpenAI accelerating if its $40 billion-plus run rate inflects sharply.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$319,586End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's accelerated IPO preparations, including its June confidential S-1 filing, $65 billion May funding round at a $965 billion valuation, and banker-led efforts targeting a potential autumn 2026 listing with banks like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, drive the 94.5% market-implied odds favoring it over OpenAI. Strong revenue momentum, with annualized run rates exceeding $65 billion, supports this trader consensus backed by real capital. OpenAI, despite its own June filing and $122 billion March raise, has shifted toward a 2027 timeline per CFO comments, reflecting internal priorities and market caution. Realistic challenges include SEC review delays, sudden shifts in capital market conditions, or OpenAI accelerating if its $40 billion-plus run rate inflects sharply.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$319,586End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's accelerated IPO preparations, including its June confidential S-1 filing, $65 billion May funding round at a $965 billion valuation, and banker-led efforts targeting a potential autumn 2026 listing with banks like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, drive the 94.5% market-implied odds favoring it over OpenAI. Strong revenue momentum, with annualized run rates exceeding $65 billion, supports this trader consensus backed by real capital. OpenAI, despite its own June filing and $122 billion March raise, has shifted toward a 2027 timeline per CFO comments, reflecting internal priorities and market caution. Realistic challenges include SEC review delays, sudden shifts in capital market conditions, or OpenAI accelerating if its $40 billion-plus run rate inflects sharply.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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