Maxx Crosby’s record three-year, $106.5 million extension signed with the Las Vegas Raiders in March 2025, carrying substantial guarantees through 2029 and a sizable 2026 cap hit, anchors the market’s overwhelming 95.2% probability he remains in Las Vegas. His public reaffirmation of loyalty after a collapsed offseason trade to the Ravens, coupled with a successful knee recovery and full participation in 2026 training camp under new leadership, has solidified the status quo. Raiders general manager John Spytek has signaled no active intent to move the five-time Pro Bowl edge rusher. The Dallas Cowboys’ modest 7.8% share reflects prior interest but limited current pursuit amid roster moves. A realistic shift would require the Raiders to receive multiple first-round picks while struggling early, though the contract structure and Crosby’s expressed commitment make such a deal unlikely absent major injury or roster overhaul.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLas Vegas Raiders 95.0%
Dallas Cowboys 8.1%
Jacksonville Jaguars <1%
San Francisco 49ers <1%
$6,348,072 Vol.
$6,348,072 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
95%
Dallas Cowboys
8%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
San Francisco 49ers
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
Philadelphia Eagles
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Detroit Lions
<1%
Chicago Bears
<1%
Indianapolis Colts
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Seattle Seahawks
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Denver Broncos
<1%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Miami Dolphins
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
Atlanta Falcons
<1%
Baltimore Ravens
<1%
Los Angeles Chargers
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Cincinnati Bengals
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
New England Patriots
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
Las Vegas Raiders 95.0%
Dallas Cowboys 8.1%
Jacksonville Jaguars <1%
San Francisco 49ers <1%
$6,348,072 Vol.
$6,348,072 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
95%
Dallas Cowboys
8%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
San Francisco 49ers
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
Philadelphia Eagles
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Detroit Lions
<1%
Chicago Bears
<1%
Indianapolis Colts
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Seattle Seahawks
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Denver Broncos
<1%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Miami Dolphins
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
Atlanta Falcons
<1%
Baltimore Ravens
<1%
Los Angeles Chargers
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Cincinnati Bengals
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
New England Patriots
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Market Opened: Feb 9, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maxx Crosby’s record three-year, $106.5 million extension signed with the Las Vegas Raiders in March 2025, carrying substantial guarantees through 2029 and a sizable 2026 cap hit, anchors the market’s overwhelming 95.2% probability he remains in Las Vegas. His public reaffirmation of loyalty after a collapsed offseason trade to the Ravens, coupled with a successful knee recovery and full participation in 2026 training camp under new leadership, has solidified the status quo. Raiders general manager John Spytek has signaled no active intent to move the five-time Pro Bowl edge rusher. The Dallas Cowboys’ modest 7.8% share reflects prior interest but limited current pursuit amid roster moves. A realistic shift would require the Raiders to receive multiple first-round picks while struggling early, though the contract structure and Crosby’s expressed commitment make such a deal unlikely absent major injury or roster overhaul.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions