The Vancouver mayoral race remains closely contested ahead of the October 17, 2026 election, with incumbent Ken Sim of ABC Vancouver holding a modest edge over Green Party city councillor Pete Fry in trader pricing. Recent polls show Sim ahead at around 30% in one survey but trailing or tied in others, reflecting his underwater approval ratings and a large pool of undecided voters exceeding 30%. Fragmentation among progressive candidates, including Fry, COPE’s Stephanie Allen, and OneCity’s William Azaroff, has limited any single challenger’s ability to consolidate opposition support, while Kareem Allam of the Vancouver Liberals draws steady but secondary backing. ABC’s recent council slate expansions and emphasis on public safety and tax restraint have sustained Sim’s position, though nomination deadlines in early September and further polling shifts could alter the balance before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKen Sim 39%
Pete Fry 33.4%
Kareem Allam 15%
William Azaroff 5.2%
$179,887 Vol.
$179,887 Vol.
Ken Sim
39%
Pete Fry
33%
Kareem Allam
15%
William Azaroff
5%
Colleen Hardwick
2%
Kirk LaPointe
1%
Stephanie Allen
1%
John Coupar
1%
Amanda Burrows
1%
Rebecca Bligh
<1%
Sean Orr
<1%
Tim Louis
<1%
Fred Harding
<1%
Ken Sim 39%
Pete Fry 33.4%
Kareem Allam 15%
William Azaroff 5.2%
$179,887 Vol.
$179,887 Vol.
Ken Sim
39%
Pete Fry
33%
Kareem Allam
15%
William Azaroff
5%
Colleen Hardwick
2%
Kirk LaPointe
1%
Stephanie Allen
1%
John Coupar
1%
Amanda Burrows
1%
Rebecca Bligh
<1%
Sean Orr
<1%
Tim Louis
<1%
Fred Harding
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Vancouver mayoral race remains closely contested ahead of the October 17, 2026 election, with incumbent Ken Sim of ABC Vancouver holding a modest edge over Green Party city councillor Pete Fry in trader pricing. Recent polls show Sim ahead at around 30% in one survey but trailing or tied in others, reflecting his underwater approval ratings and a large pool of undecided voters exceeding 30%. Fragmentation among progressive candidates, including Fry, COPE’s Stephanie Allen, and OneCity’s William Azaroff, has limited any single challenger’s ability to consolidate opposition support, while Kareem Allam of the Vancouver Liberals draws steady but secondary backing. ABC’s recent council slate expansions and emphasis on public safety and tax restraint have sustained Sim’s position, though nomination deadlines in early September and further polling shifts could alter the balance before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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