**Ongoing martial law bars referendums and elections in Ukraine, and President Zelenskyy has repeatedly conditioned any nationwide vote on a peace deal—including territorial provisions—with a sustained ceasefire of at least 60 days plus verifiable security guarantees.** Recent U.S.-backed talks collapsed earlier in 2026 over Russian demands for major territorial concessions that Kyiv rejected, leaving no framework for agreement. In August 2026, Zelenskyy explicitly rejected calls for wartime voting, warning that elections or referendums now would “split Ukraine,” amid statements from former defense minister Mykhailo Fedorov and public polling showing most Ukrainians oppose such steps before a definitive peace or strong guarantees. Active frontline fighting continues with no ceasefire in place, while constitutional and logistical barriers (voter access, security, legislative changes) further constrain near-term scheduling. Trader consensus reflects these structural and political obstacles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUkraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$526,571 Vol.
September 30
3%
December 31
6%
$526,571 Vol.
September 30
3%
December 31
6%
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 7:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Ongoing martial law bars referendums and elections in Ukraine, and President Zelenskyy has repeatedly conditioned any nationwide vote on a peace deal—including territorial provisions—with a sustained ceasefire of at least 60 days plus verifiable security guarantees.** Recent U.S.-backed talks collapsed earlier in 2026 over Russian demands for major territorial concessions that Kyiv rejected, leaving no framework for agreement. In August 2026, Zelenskyy explicitly rejected calls for wartime voting, warning that elections or referendums now would “split Ukraine,” amid statements from former defense minister Mykhailo Fedorov and public polling showing most Ukrainians oppose such steps before a definitive peace or strong guarantees. Active frontline fighting continues with no ceasefire in place, while constitutional and logistical barriers (voter access, security, legislative changes) further constrain near-term scheduling. Trader consensus reflects these structural and political obstacles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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