Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud, who easily won his March 2026 primary, faces Democrat Tanya Lloyd in the November general election for Texas’s 27th congressional district. The seat’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index and Cloud’s prior 66% general-election margin reflect its consistent Republican tilt, reinforced by primary results showing limited intra-party opposition. Trader consensus at 91% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a shift. A national Democratic surge, unexpected candidate developments, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though the district’s voting patterns have historically limited such swings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTX-27 House Election Winner
TX-27 House Election Winner
$31,105 Vol.
$31,105 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$31,105 Vol.
$31,105 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$20,139 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$10,966 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud, who easily won his March 2026 primary, faces Democrat Tanya Lloyd in the November general election for Texas’s 27th congressional district. The seat’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index and Cloud’s prior 66% general-election margin reflect its consistent Republican tilt, reinforced by primary results showing limited intra-party opposition. Trader consensus at 91% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a shift. A national Democratic surge, unexpected candidate developments, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though the district’s voting patterns have historically limited such swings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$31,105End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud, who easily won his March 2026 primary, faces Democrat Tanya Lloyd in the November general election for Texas’s 27th congressional district. The seat’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index and Cloud’s prior 66% general-election margin reflect its consistent Republican tilt, reinforced by primary results showing limited intra-party opposition. Trader consensus at 91% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a shift. A national Democratic surge, unexpected candidate developments, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though the district’s voting patterns have historically limited such swings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,105End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud, who easily won his March 2026 primary, faces Democrat Tanya Lloyd in the November general election for Texas’s 27th congressional district. The seat’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index and Cloud’s prior 66% general-election margin reflect its consistent Republican tilt, reinforced by primary results showing limited intra-party opposition. Trader consensus at 91% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a shift. A national Democratic surge, unexpected candidate developments, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though the district’s voting patterns have historically limited such swings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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