Carlsen and Nakamura sit atop the Titled Tuesday winner market at 18% each because of their unmatched historical success and blitz ratings in the weekly Chess.com Swiss, yet the field remains tightly bunched with Erigaisi, Lazavik, Firouzja, Abdusattorov, and Artemiev clustered around 7% and dozens more at 4.5%. Recent results underscore the parity: Duda claimed the August 25 event for his fourth 2026 victory, Lê Tuấn Minh prevailed on August 18 ahead of both Carlsen and Nakamura, Carlsen won outright on August 4, and Firouzja took July 28. With 400-plus titled players typically entering, variable participation, short time controls rewarding current form and tiebreak resilience, and no player securing consistent dominance, trader consensus prices the outcome as highly contested among a deep group of grandmasters capable of surging on any given Tuesday.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHikaru Nakamura 36%
Magnus Carlsen 36%
Vladislav Artemiev 14%
Denis Lazavik 14%
Hikaru Nakamura
36%
Magnus Carlsen
36%
Vladislav Artemiev
14%
Denis Lazavik
14%
Alireza Firouzja
14%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
14%
Arjun Erigaisi
14%
Benjamin Bok
9%
Bardiya Daneshvar
9%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
9%
Dincer Tasdogen
9%
Fabiano Caruana
9%
Faustino Oro
9%
Frederik Svane
9%
Haik Martirosyan
9%
Hans Niemann
9%
Haowen Xue
9%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
9%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
9%
Jose Martinez
9%
Jules Moussard
9%
Javokhir Sindarov
9%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
9%
Volen Dyulgerov
9%
Christopher Yoo
9%
Awonder Liang
9%
Andrew Tang
9%
Aravindh Chithambaram
9%
Aleksei Sarana
9%
Nikolas Theodorou
9%
Parham Maghsoodloo
9%
Pranesh Munirethinam
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
9%
Pranav Venkatesh
9%
Rudik Makarian
9%
Sam Sevian
9%
Sergey Sklokin
9%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
9%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
9%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
9%
Gukesh Dommaraju
9%
Wei Yi
9%
Vladimir Fedoseev
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Sina Movahed
9%
Andrey Esipenko
9%
Alexander Grischuk
9%
Aleksandar Indjic
9%
Aleksandr Shimanov
9%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
9%
Dmitry Andreikin
9%
David Anton
9%
Dau Khuong Duy
9%
Jeffery Xiong
9%
Levon Aronian
9%
Le Tuan Minh
9%
Matthias Bluebaum
9%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
9%
Nihal Sarin
9%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
9%
Renato Terry Lujan
9%
Rasmus Svane
9%
Vincent Keymer
9%
Wesley So
9%
Ding Liren
9%
Hikaru Nakamura 36%
Magnus Carlsen 36%
Vladislav Artemiev 14%
Denis Lazavik 14%
Hikaru Nakamura
36%
Magnus Carlsen
36%
Vladislav Artemiev
14%
Denis Lazavik
14%
Alireza Firouzja
14%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
14%
Arjun Erigaisi
14%
Benjamin Bok
9%
Bardiya Daneshvar
9%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
9%
Dincer Tasdogen
9%
Fabiano Caruana
9%
Faustino Oro
9%
Frederik Svane
9%
Haik Martirosyan
9%
Hans Niemann
9%
Haowen Xue
9%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
9%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
9%
Jose Martinez
9%
Jules Moussard
9%
Javokhir Sindarov
9%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
9%
Volen Dyulgerov
9%
Christopher Yoo
9%
Awonder Liang
9%
Andrew Tang
9%
Aravindh Chithambaram
9%
Aleksei Sarana
9%
Nikolas Theodorou
9%
Parham Maghsoodloo
9%
Pranesh Munirethinam
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
9%
Pranav Venkatesh
9%
Rudik Makarian
9%
Sam Sevian
9%
Sergey Sklokin
9%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
9%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
9%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
9%
Gukesh Dommaraju
9%
Wei Yi
9%
Vladimir Fedoseev
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Sina Movahed
9%
Andrey Esipenko
9%
Alexander Grischuk
9%
Aleksandar Indjic
9%
Aleksandr Shimanov
9%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
9%
Dmitry Andreikin
9%
David Anton
9%
Dau Khuong Duy
9%
Jeffery Xiong
9%
Levon Aronian
9%
Le Tuan Minh
9%
Matthias Bluebaum
9%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
9%
Nihal Sarin
9%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
9%
Renato Terry Lujan
9%
Rasmus Svane
9%
Vincent Keymer
9%
Wesley So
9%
Ding Liren
9%
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Carlsen and Nakamura sit atop the Titled Tuesday winner market at 18% each because of their unmatched historical success and blitz ratings in the weekly Chess.com Swiss, yet the field remains tightly bunched with Erigaisi, Lazavik, Firouzja, Abdusattorov, and Artemiev clustered around 7% and dozens more at 4.5%. Recent results underscore the parity: Duda claimed the August 25 event for his fourth 2026 victory, Lê Tuấn Minh prevailed on August 18 ahead of both Carlsen and Nakamura, Carlsen won outright on August 4, and Firouzja took July 28. With 400-plus titled players typically entering, variable participation, short time controls rewarding current form and tiebreak resilience, and no player securing consistent dominance, trader consensus prices the outcome as highly contested among a deep group of grandmasters capable of surging on any given Tuesday.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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