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Sports·Chess

Titled Tuesday Winner: August 25

icon for Titled Tuesday Winner: August 25
Sports·Chess

Titled Tuesday Winner: August 25

Winner

Top 3

Top 5

Top 8

Winner

Top 3

Top 5

Top 8

Hikaru Nakamura 30%

Magnus Carlsen 14%

Wei Yi 9%

Vladimir Fedoseev 9%

Polymarket
NEW

Hikaru Nakamura 30%

Magnus Carlsen 14%

Wei Yi 9%

Vladimir Fedoseev 9%

Polymarket
NEW

Hikaru Nakamura

$15 Vol.

19%

Magnus Carlsen

$158 Vol.

14%

Wei Yi

$100 Vol.

9%

Vladimir Fedoseev

$0 Vol.

9%

Brandon Jacobson

$0 Vol.

9%

Christopher Yoo

$0 Vol.

9%

Awonder Liang

$0 Vol.

9%

Andrew Tang

$0 Vol.

9%

Nikolas Theodorou

$0 Vol.

8%

Aleksei Sarana

$0 Vol.

6%

Denis Lazavik

$0 Vol.

6%

Arjun Erigaisi

$0 Vol.

5%

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

$0 Vol.

5%

Jose Martinez

$0 Vol.

5%

Sina Movahed

$0 Vol.

5%

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

$0 Vol.

5%

Ding Liren

$33 Vol.

5%

Tuomas Turunen

$0 Vol.

5%

Gukesh Dommaraju

$0 Vol.

5%

Alireza Firouzja

$0 Vol.

5%

Jeffery Xiong

$0 Vol.

5%

Le Tuan Minh

$0 Vol.

4%

Ian Nepomniachtchi

$0 Vol.

4%

Oleksandr Bortnyk

$0 Vol.

4%

Nodirbek Abdusattorov

$0 Vol.

4%

Shamsiddin Vokhidov

$0 Vol.

4%

Vincent Keymer

$0 Vol.

4%

Nihal Sarin

$0 Vol.

4%

Vladislav Artemiev

$0 Vol.

4%

Dmitry Andreikin

$0 Vol.

4%

Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei

$0 Vol.

4%

Haowen Xue

$0 Vol.

4%

Javokhir Sindarov

$0 Vol.

4%

Fabiano Caruana

$0 Vol.

4%

Wesley So

$0 Vol.

4%

Bardiya Daneshvar

$0 Vol.

3%

Haik Martirosyan

$0 Vol.

3%

Renato Terry Lujan

$0 Vol.

3%

Alexander Grischuk

$0 Vol.

3%

Bogdan-Daniel Deac

$0 Vol.

3%

Dincer Tasdogen

$0 Vol.

3%

Pranesh Munirethinam

$0 Vol.

3%

Rudik Makarian

$0 Vol.

3%

Cristobal Henriquez Villagra

$0 Vol.

3%

Rasmus Svane

$0 Vol.

3%

Frederik Svane

$0 Vol.

3%

Andrey Esipenko

$0 Vol.

3%

Zhamsaran Tsydypov

$0 Vol.

3%

Parham Maghsoodloo

$0 Vol.

3%

Matthias Bluebaum

$0 Vol.

3%

Aravindh Chithambaram

$0 Vol.

3%

Aleksandar Indjic

$0 Vol.

3%

Dau Khuong Duy

$0 Vol.

3%

Levon Aronian

$0 Vol.

3%

Sergey Sklokin

$0 Vol.

3%

Benjamin Bok

$0 Vol.

3%

Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu

$0 Vol.

3%

Aleksandr Shimanov

$0 Vol.

3%

Yoseph Theolifus Taher

$0 Vol.

3%

Hans Niemann

$0 Vol.

3%

Pranav Venkatesh

$0 Vol.

3%

Jules Moussard

$0 Vol.

2%

Faustino Oro

$0 Vol.

2%

David Anton

$0 Vol.

2%

Volen Dyulgerov

$0 Vol.

2%

Sam Sevian

$0 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 25, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Titled Tuesday on August 25 features an 11-round Swiss-system blitz event open to titled players, drawing a deep field that includes Magnus Carlsen, Hikaru Nakamura, Aleksei Sarana, Arjun Erigaisi, Alireza Firouzja, and dozens of other grandmasters. Carlsen’s recent victory on August 4, where he posted 9.5/11 ahead of Erigaisi, underpins his 16.5% market share as the consensus leader, while Nakamura’s historical dominance in the format and consistent top finishes support his 9% pricing. The bunched probabilities across the rest of the field stem from the large participant pool, high variance inherent to blitz, and the need for sustained performance plus favorable tiebreaks over multiple rounds. Recent results show multiple GMs capable of 9+ scores on any Tuesday, keeping the race competitive and preventing any single player from commanding overwhelming implied probability.

This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 25, 2026 11:59 PM ET.

If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If this tournament is postponed after September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$307
End Date
Sep 9, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:30 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 25, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 25, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Titled Tuesday on August 25 features an 11-round Swiss-system blitz event open to titled players, drawing a deep field that includes Magnus Carlsen, Hikaru Nakamura, Aleksei Sarana, Arjun Erigaisi, Alireza Firouzja, and dozens of other grandmasters. Carlsen’s recent victory on August 4, where he posted 9.5/11 ahead of Erigaisi, underpins his 16.5% market share as the consensus leader, while Nakamura’s historical dominance in the format and consistent top finishes support his 9% pricing. The bunched probabilities across the rest of the field stem from the large participant pool, high variance inherent to blitz, and the need for sustained performance plus favorable tiebreaks over multiple rounds. Recent results show multiple GMs capable of 9+ scores on any Tuesday, keeping the race competitive and preventing any single player from commanding overwhelming implied probability.

This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 25, 2026 11:59 PM ET.

If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If this tournament is postponed after September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$307
End Date
Sep 9, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:30 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 25, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Titled Tuesday Winner: August 25" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 66+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Hikaru Nakamura" at 20%, followed by "Magnus Carlsen" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Titled Tuesday Winner: August 25" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Titled Tuesday Winner: August 25," browse the 66+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Titled Tuesday Winner: August 25" is "Hikaru Nakamura" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Magnus Carlsen" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Titled Tuesday Winner: August 25" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.