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Elections·Main Election

Taichung Mayor Election Winner

icon for Taichung Mayor Election Winner
Elections·Main Election

Taichung Mayor Election Winner

Johnny Chiang 90%

Ho Hsin-chun 4.1%

Yang Chiung-ying 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW

Johnny Chiang 90%

Ho Hsin-chun 4.1%

Yang Chiung-ying 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Johnny Chiang

Johnny Chiang

$1,553 Vol.

90%

icon for Ho Hsin-chun

Ho Hsin-chun

$143 Vol.

4%

icon for Yang Chiung-ying

Yang Chiung-ying

$1,108 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Johnny Chiang holds a dominant position in the 2026 Taichung mayoral race due to KMT party consolidation, structural advantages in a city with a blue-leaning electorate, and stronger personal metrics in recent polling.** The KMT selected Chiang (江啟臣), the Legislative Yuan deputy speaker and long-time Taichung legislator, as its nominee in late March 2026 after he prevailed in internal polls over fellow legislator Yang Chiung-ying (楊瓊瓔), who pledged support and helped unify the ticket. Incumbent KMT Mayor Lu Shiow-yen is term-limited, leaving an open seat that favors continuity under a well-known local figure with high name recognition and appreciation ratings. Chiang faces DPP legislator Ho Hsin-chun (何欣純), nominated in late 2025. An August 2026 poll showed Chiang leading 42.8% to 36.1% with a wider gap in electability (48.2% vs. 23.6%), though the margin narrowed from prior surveys amid dissatisfaction over a local toxic oil incident that hurt perceptions of city government performance. Analysts note Taichung’s underlying partisan balance (KMT/TPP supporters outnumber DPP) and Chiang’s edge in visibility and policy positioning as key reasons traders assign him the clear lead, with other candidates and independents remaining marginal. The November election is roughly three months away, leaving limited time for major shifts absent new catalysts.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$2,804
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Johnny Chiang holds a dominant position in the 2026 Taichung mayoral race due to KMT party consolidation, structural advantages in a city with a blue-leaning electorate, and stronger personal metrics in recent polling.** The KMT selected Chiang (江啟臣), the Legislative Yuan deputy speaker and long-time Taichung legislator, as its nominee in late March 2026 after he prevailed in internal polls over fellow legislator Yang Chiung-ying (楊瓊瓔), who pledged support and helped unify the ticket. Incumbent KMT Mayor Lu Shiow-yen is term-limited, leaving an open seat that favors continuity under a well-known local figure with high name recognition and appreciation ratings. Chiang faces DPP legislator Ho Hsin-chun (何欣純), nominated in late 2025. An August 2026 poll showed Chiang leading 42.8% to 36.1% with a wider gap in electability (48.2% vs. 23.6%), though the margin narrowed from prior surveys amid dissatisfaction over a local toxic oil incident that hurt perceptions of city government performance. Analysts note Taichung’s underlying partisan balance (KMT/TPP supporters outnumber DPP) and Chiang’s edge in visibility and policy positioning as key reasons traders assign him the clear lead, with other candidates and independents remaining marginal. The November election is roughly three months away, leaving limited time for major shifts absent new catalysts.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$2,804
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Taichung Mayor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Johnny Chiang" at 90%, followed by "Ho Hsin-chun" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Taichung Mayor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Taichung Mayor Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Taichung Mayor Election Winner" is "Johnny Chiang" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ho Hsin-chun" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Taichung Mayor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.