**Johnny Chiang (KMT), the party's nominee and current Legislative Yuan deputy speaker, holds a dominant 89.5% implied probability in the Taichung mayoral race, far ahead of DPP candidate Ho Hsin-chun and other listed options.** Chiang secured the KMT nomination in March 2026 after prevailing in internal polls over Legislator Yang Chiung-ying, with full party backing including from incumbent Mayor Lu Shiow-yen, who has publicly endorsed him and assumed leadership roles in his campaign headquarters. Recent polling from a think tank shows Chiang leading Ho 42.8%–36.1% in head-to-head support and 48.2%–23.6% in favorability for winning, though the margin has narrowed over recent months amid dissatisfaction with city government handling of a local oil contamination incident (51% of respondents expressed dissatisfaction). Taichung's voter base has historically favored KMT candidates in local contests, reinforced by strong organizational unity and Chiang's high name recognition and legislative profile. The November 28, 2026, election remains months away, leaving room for further shifts from national trends, campaign events, or additional local issues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTaichung Mayor Election Winner
Taichung Mayor Election Winner
Johnny Chiang 90%
Ho Hsin-chun 4.0%
Yang Chiung-ying 1.4%
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Johnny Chiang
90%
Ho Hsin-chun
4%
Yang Chiung-ying
1%
Johnny Chiang 90%
Ho Hsin-chun 4.0%
Yang Chiung-ying 1.4%
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Johnny Chiang
$1,553 Vol.
90%
Ho Hsin-chun
$143 Vol.
4%
Yang Chiung-ying
$1,108 Vol.
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Johnny Chiang (KMT), the party's nominee and current Legislative Yuan deputy speaker, holds a dominant 89.5% implied probability in the Taichung mayoral race, far ahead of DPP candidate Ho Hsin-chun and other listed options.**
Chiang secured the KMT nomination in March 2026 after prevailing in internal polls over Legislator Yang Chiung-ying, with full party backing including from incumbent Mayor Lu Shiow-yen, who has publicly endorsed him and assumed leadership roles in his campaign headquarters. Recent polling from a think tank shows Chiang leading Ho 42.8%–36.1% in head-to-head support and 48.2%–23.6% in favorability for winning, though the margin has narrowed over recent months amid dissatisfaction with city government handling of a local oil contamination incident (51% of respondents expressed dissatisfaction). Taichung's voter base has historically favored KMT candidates in local contests, reinforced by strong organizational unity and Chiang's high name recognition and legislative profile. The November 28, 2026, election remains months away, leaving room for further shifts from national trends, campaign events, or additional local issues.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 8:50 AM ET
Volume
$2,804End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Johnny Chiang (KMT), the party's nominee and current Legislative Yuan deputy speaker, holds a dominant 89.5% implied probability in the Taichung mayoral race, far ahead of DPP candidate Ho Hsin-chun and other listed options.**
Chiang secured the KMT nomination in March 2026 after prevailing in internal polls over Legislator Yang Chiung-ying, with full party backing including from incumbent Mayor Lu Shiow-yen, who has publicly endorsed him and assumed leadership roles in his campaign headquarters. Recent polling from a think tank shows Chiang leading Ho 42.8%–36.1% in head-to-head support and 48.2%–23.6% in favorability for winning, though the margin has narrowed over recent months amid dissatisfaction with city government handling of a local oil contamination incident (51% of respondents expressed dissatisfaction). Taichung's voter base has historically favored KMT candidates in local contests, reinforced by strong organizational unity and Chiang's high name recognition and legislative profile. The November 28, 2026, election remains months away, leaving room for further shifts from national trends, campaign events, or additional local issues.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$2,804End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Johnny Chiang (KMT), the party's nominee and current Legislative Yuan deputy speaker, holds a dominant 89.5% implied probability in the Taichung mayoral race, far ahead of DPP candidate Ho Hsin-chun and other listed options.** Chiang secured the KMT nomination in March 2026 after prevailing in internal polls over Legislator Yang Chiung-ying, with full party backing including from incumbent Mayor Lu Shiow-yen, who has publicly endorsed him and assumed leadership roles in his campaign headquarters. Recent polling from a think tank shows Chiang leading Ho 42.8%–36.1% in head-to-head support and 48.2%–23.6% in favorability for winning, though the margin has narrowed over recent months amid dissatisfaction with city government handling of a local oil contamination incident (51% of respondents expressed dissatisfaction). Taichung's voter base has historically favored KMT candidates in local contests, reinforced by strong organizational unity and Chiang's high name recognition and legislative profile. The November 28, 2026, election remains months away, leaving room for further shifts from national trends, campaign events, or additional local issues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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