South Carolina's solidly Republican political environment and the June 2026 primaries shape trader consensus in this open-seat race, with Attorney General Alan Wilson securing the GOP nomination after defeating Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette in the runoff. State Representative Jermaine Johnson won the Democratic primary, but historical voting patterns, limited crossover appeal, and the absence of major recent developments favoring Democrats sustain the wide gap. Scheduled general election voting on November 3 leaves room for late shifts from unforeseen events such as candidate health issues, significant scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key areas.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$17,195 Vol.
$17,195 Vol.

Republican
94%

Democrat
6%
$17,195 Vol.
$17,195 Vol.

Republican
94%

Democrat
6%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's solidly Republican political environment and the June 2026 primaries shape trader consensus in this open-seat race, with Attorney General Alan Wilson securing the GOP nomination after defeating Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette in the runoff. State Representative Jermaine Johnson won the Democratic primary, but historical voting patterns, limited crossover appeal, and the absence of major recent developments favoring Democrats sustain the wide gap. Scheduled general election voting on November 3 leaves room for late shifts from unforeseen events such as candidate health issues, significant scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key areas.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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