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Sports·NFL

Pro Football: 2026-27 Receiving Touchdowns Leader

icon for Pro Football: 2026-27 Receiving Touchdowns Leader
Sports·NFL

Pro Football: 2026-27 Receiving Touchdowns Leader

Ja'Marr Chase 13%

Amon-Ra St. Brown 11%

Jaxon Smith-Njigba 9%

Puka Nacua 9%

Polymarket
NEW

Ja'Marr Chase 13%

Amon-Ra St. Brown 11%

Jaxon Smith-Njigba 9%

Puka Nacua 9%

Polymarket
NEW

Ja'Marr Chase

$0 Vol.

13%

Amon-Ra St. Brown

$0 Vol.

11%

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

$117 Vol.

9%

Puka Nacua

$127 Vol.

9%

CeeDee Lamb

$131 Vol.

7%

A.J. Brown

$0 Vol.

7%

Davante Adams

$690 Vol.

6%

Brock Bowers

$20 Vol.

4%

Trey McBride

$46 Vol.

4%

Justin Jefferson

$0 Vol.

4%

Garrett Wilson

$35 Vol.

4%

Tee Higgins

$0 Vol.

4%

Drake London

$0 Vol.

3%

Nico Collins

$0 Vol.

3%

Devonta Smith

$72 Vol.

2%

DJ Moore

$117 Vol.

10%

Chris Olave

$37 Vol.

2%

Malik Nabers

$21 Vol.

2%

Jameson Williams

$46 Vol.

1%

George Kittle

$25 Vol.

1%

Travis Kelce

$56 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving touchdowns. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more receiving yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per reception average during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ja'Marr Chase holds the narrowest edge among contenders to lead the NFL in receiving touchdowns for the 2026 season, driven by his elite target share and red-zone usage in Cincinnati's pass-heavy scheme with Joe Burrow. Amon-Ra St. Brown, Davante Adams, Puka Nacua, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba sit close behind, buoyed by consistent volume, goal-line roles in productive offenses, and recent double-digit touchdown outputs despite varying supporting casts. The tight clustering around 9-12% implied probability reflects preseason uncertainty, with no clear frontrunner emerging from comparable projections, injury histories, and offensive continuity across multiple teams. Historical regression patterns and the inherent randomness of end-zone opportunities further compress the field, keeping outcomes competitive even for established volume receivers like CeeDee Lamb and Tee Higgins.

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving touchdowns.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more receiving yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per reception average during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,540
End Date
Jan 12, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 3:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving touchdowns. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more receiving yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per reception average during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving touchdowns. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more receiving yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per reception average during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ja'Marr Chase holds the narrowest edge among contenders to lead the NFL in receiving touchdowns for the 2026 season, driven by his elite target share and red-zone usage in Cincinnati's pass-heavy scheme with Joe Burrow. Amon-Ra St. Brown, Davante Adams, Puka Nacua, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba sit close behind, buoyed by consistent volume, goal-line roles in productive offenses, and recent double-digit touchdown outputs despite varying supporting casts. The tight clustering around 9-12% implied probability reflects preseason uncertainty, with no clear frontrunner emerging from comparable projections, injury histories, and offensive continuity across multiple teams. Historical regression patterns and the inherent randomness of end-zone opportunities further compress the field, keeping outcomes competitive even for established volume receivers like CeeDee Lamb and Tee Higgins.

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving touchdowns.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more receiving yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per reception average during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,540
End Date
Jan 12, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 3:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving touchdowns. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more receiving yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per reception average during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

NFL 2026
Odds & Predictions

Related

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Will Justin Jefferson finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards?

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icon for Will Ja'Marr Chase finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?

Will Ja'Marr Chase finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?

15%
icon for Will Joe Burrow finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?

Will Joe Burrow finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?

13%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pro Football: 2026-27 Receiving Touchdowns Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ja'Marr Chase" at 13%, followed by "Amon-Ra St. Brown" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Pro Football: 2026-27 Receiving Touchdowns Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Pro Football: 2026-27 Receiving Touchdowns Leader," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pro Football: 2026-27 Receiving Touchdowns Leader" is "Ja'Marr Chase" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Amon-Ra St. Brown" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pro Football: 2026-27 Receiving Touchdowns Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.