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Sports·NFL

Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner

icon for Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner
Sports·NFL

Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner

David Bailey 15%

Rueben Bain Jr. 15%

Caleb Downs 15%

Arvell Reese 14%

Polymarket
NEW

David Bailey 15%

Rueben Bain Jr. 15%

Caleb Downs 15%

Arvell Reese 14%

Polymarket
NEW

David Bailey

$1,520 Vol.

15%

Rueben Bain Jr.

$1,510 Vol.

15%

Caleb Downs

$644 Vol.

15%

Arvell Reese

$254 Vol.

14%

Sonny Styles

$155 Vol.

7%

Mansoor Delane

$23 Vol.

6%

Akheem Mesidor

$23 Vol.

4%

Malachi Lawrence

$23 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year market reflects a wide-open field driven by several high-pedigree defenders from the recent draft class landing immediate starting roles on defenses needing pass-rush and tackling production. Edge rushers David Bailey and Rueben Bain Jr. sit atop consensus pricing due to their elite college sack and pressure totals, top-15 draft capital, and favorable scheme fits with the Jets and Buccaneers. Caleb Downs, Arvell Reese, and Sonny Styles follow closely, bolstered by Ohio State pedigrees, versatility across linebacker and safety spots, and projected volume in Dallas, New York, and Washington. Preseason snap counts and camp reports have yet to separate the group meaningfully, leaving implied probabilities tightly bunched as traders weigh opportunity, historical EDGE dominance in the award, and the inherent uncertainty of rookie statistical accumulation across 17 games.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,151
End Date
Feb 11, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 9:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year market reflects a wide-open field driven by several high-pedigree defenders from the recent draft class landing immediate starting roles on defenses needing pass-rush and tackling production. Edge rushers David Bailey and Rueben Bain Jr. sit atop consensus pricing due to their elite college sack and pressure totals, top-15 draft capital, and favorable scheme fits with the Jets and Buccaneers. Caleb Downs, Arvell Reese, and Sonny Styles follow closely, bolstered by Ohio State pedigrees, versatility across linebacker and safety spots, and projected volume in Dallas, New York, and Washington. Preseason snap counts and camp reports have yet to separate the group meaningfully, leaving implied probabilities tightly bunched as traders weigh opportunity, historical EDGE dominance in the award, and the inherent uncertainty of rookie statistical accumulation across 17 games.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,151
End Date
Feb 11, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 9:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

NFL 2026
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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Bailey" at 15%, followed by "Rueben Bain Jr." at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 15¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner" is "David Bailey" at 15%, meaning the market assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rueben Bain Jr." at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.