Republican incumbent Max Miller faces Democratic challenger Brian Poindexter, a union ironworker and local council member, in Ohio’s 7th district. Trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 78.5% stems primarily from late-July 2026 public allegations of abuse against Miller by his ex-wife, which he denies and has litigated as defamation. Ohio ballot rules prevented a Republican replacement, locking Miller in despite withdrawal pressure. Multiple August polls now show Poindexter ahead by single or double digits, prompting forecasters to shift ratings toward toss-up status from earlier Republican leans. Poindexter’s union backing and the district’s recent history of Miller underperformance relative to presidential margins have reinforced the challenger’s position in real-money assessments ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOH-07 House Election Winner
OH-07 House Election Winner
$52,723 Vol.
$52,723 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
79%
Republican Party
20%
$52,723 Vol.
$52,723 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$33,291 Vol.
79%
Republican Party
$19,432 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Max Miller faces Democratic challenger Brian Poindexter, a union ironworker and local council member, in Ohio’s 7th district. Trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 78.5% stems primarily from late-July 2026 public allegations of abuse against Miller by his ex-wife, which he denies and has litigated as defamation. Ohio ballot rules prevented a Republican replacement, locking Miller in despite withdrawal pressure. Multiple August polls now show Poindexter ahead by single or double digits, prompting forecasters to shift ratings toward toss-up status from earlier Republican leans. Poindexter’s union backing and the district’s recent history of Miller underperformance relative to presidential margins have reinforced the challenger’s position in real-money assessments ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$52,723End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Max Miller faces Democratic challenger Brian Poindexter, a union ironworker and local council member, in Ohio’s 7th district. Trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 78.5% stems primarily from late-July 2026 public allegations of abuse against Miller by his ex-wife, which he denies and has litigated as defamation. Ohio ballot rules prevented a Republican replacement, locking Miller in despite withdrawal pressure. Multiple August polls now show Poindexter ahead by single or double digits, prompting forecasters to shift ratings toward toss-up status from earlier Republican leans. Poindexter’s union backing and the district’s recent history of Miller underperformance relative to presidential margins have reinforced the challenger’s position in real-money assessments ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$52,723End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Max Miller faces Democratic challenger Brian Poindexter, a union ironworker and local council member, in Ohio’s 7th district. Trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 78.5% stems primarily from late-July 2026 public allegations of abuse against Miller by his ex-wife, which he denies and has litigated as defamation. Ohio ballot rules prevented a Republican replacement, locking Miller in despite withdrawal pressure. Multiple August polls now show Poindexter ahead by single or double digits, prompting forecasters to shift ratings toward toss-up status from earlier Republican leans. Poindexter’s union backing and the district’s recent history of Miller underperformance relative to presidential margins have reinforced the challenger’s position in real-money assessments ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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