Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York's 16th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's strong Democratic lean and the absence of viable opposition. The district carries a D+18 partisan voter index, spans parts of the Bronx and Westchester County, and features an unopposed Democratic primary that confirmed party consolidation behind the sitting representative. Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani and independent John Franklin Wilson IV face steep structural barriers in a constituency where Democrats have consistently prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus in the 95% range for a Democratic win aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an extreme national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though no such factors have materialized to date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-16 House Election Winner
NY-16 House Election Winner
$41,135 Vol.
$41,135 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$41,135 Vol.
$41,135 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$30,678 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$10,457 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York's 16th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's strong Democratic lean and the absence of viable opposition. The district carries a D+18 partisan voter index, spans parts of the Bronx and Westchester County, and features an unopposed Democratic primary that confirmed party consolidation behind the sitting representative. Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani and independent John Franklin Wilson IV face steep structural barriers in a constituency where Democrats have consistently prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus in the 95% range for a Democratic win aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an extreme national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though no such factors have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$41,135End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York's 16th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's strong Democratic lean and the absence of viable opposition. The district carries a D+18 partisan voter index, spans parts of the Bronx and Westchester County, and features an unopposed Democratic primary that confirmed party consolidation behind the sitting representative. Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani and independent John Franklin Wilson IV face steep structural barriers in a constituency where Democrats have consistently prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus in the 95% range for a Democratic win aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an extreme national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though no such factors have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,135End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York's 16th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's strong Democratic lean and the absence of viable opposition. The district carries a D+18 partisan voter index, spans parts of the Bronx and Westchester County, and features an unopposed Democratic primary that confirmed party consolidation behind the sitting representative. Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani and independent John Franklin Wilson IV face steep structural barriers in a constituency where Democrats have consistently prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus in the 95% range for a Democratic win aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an extreme national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though no such factors have materialized to date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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