New York’s 7th congressional district, covering progressive neighborhoods in Brooklyn and Queens, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+25 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear winner in Claire Valdez, who defeated rivals by double-digit margins in a contest that drew attention from local progressive networks but left the general-election path intact. Republican nominee Melvin Rivera faces limited visibility and organizational resources in a district where the prior Democratic incumbent secured 78 percent in 2024. Trader pricing at 95.5 percent Democratic reflects this structural advantage and the absence of recent polling shifts or late-cycle developments that would alter the balance before the November general election. Low-probability disruptions such as nominee withdrawal or an unanticipated national political surge remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-07 House Election Winner
NY-07 House Election Winner
$29,869 Vol.
$29,869 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$29,869 Vol.
$29,869 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,452 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$14,417 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 7th congressional district, covering progressive neighborhoods in Brooklyn and Queens, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+25 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear winner in Claire Valdez, who defeated rivals by double-digit margins in a contest that drew attention from local progressive networks but left the general-election path intact. Republican nominee Melvin Rivera faces limited visibility and organizational resources in a district where the prior Democratic incumbent secured 78 percent in 2024. Trader pricing at 95.5 percent Democratic reflects this structural advantage and the absence of recent polling shifts or late-cycle developments that would alter the balance before the November general election. Low-probability disruptions such as nominee withdrawal or an unanticipated national political surge remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$29,869End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 7th congressional district, covering progressive neighborhoods in Brooklyn and Queens, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+25 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear winner in Claire Valdez, who defeated rivals by double-digit margins in a contest that drew attention from local progressive networks but left the general-election path intact. Republican nominee Melvin Rivera faces limited visibility and organizational resources in a district where the prior Democratic incumbent secured 78 percent in 2024. Trader pricing at 95.5 percent Democratic reflects this structural advantage and the absence of recent polling shifts or late-cycle developments that would alter the balance before the November general election. Low-probability disruptions such as nominee withdrawal or an unanticipated national political surge remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,869End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 7th congressional district, covering progressive neighborhoods in Brooklyn and Queens, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+25 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear winner in Claire Valdez, who defeated rivals by double-digit margins in a contest that drew attention from local progressive networks but left the general-election path intact. Republican nominee Melvin Rivera faces limited visibility and organizational resources in a district where the prior Democratic incumbent secured 78 percent in 2024. Trader pricing at 95.5 percent Democratic reflects this structural advantage and the absence of recent polling shifts or late-cycle developments that would alter the balance before the November general election. Low-probability disruptions such as nominee withdrawal or an unanticipated national political surge remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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