NVIDIA's upcoming August 26 earnings release after the bell stands as the dominant catalyst shaping trader positioning for the stock's August 28 close, with recent sessions showing volatility around the $208–215 area amid pre-earnings positioning. Market-implied odds cluster tightly across the $205–215 bands because participants price in a high likelihood of another EPS beat and raised guidance driven by sustained hyperscaler AI capital spending, yet remain uncertain about the magnitude of any post-print reaction given elevated valuations and broader sector rotation. Recent analyst reiterations of overweight ratings with price targets well above current levels, alongside strong data center revenue trends, support the bullish tilt, while macro factors including the Jackson Hole symposium and potential shifts in rate expectations add near-term uncertainty that could widen trading ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$205-$210 44%
$195-$200 38%
$225-$230 36%
>$240 35%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
<$195
23%
$195-$200
38%
$200-$205
16%
$205-$210
44%
$210-$215
15%
$215-$220
38%
$220-$225
13%
$225-$230
36%
$230-$235
11%
$235-$240
11%
>$240
35%
$205-$210 44%
$195-$200 38%
$225-$230 36%
>$240 35%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
<$195
$33 Vol.
23%
$195-$200
$0 Vol.
38%
$200-$205
$0 Vol.
16%
$205-$210
$0 Vol.
44%
$210-$215
$405 Vol.
15%
$215-$220
$500 Vol.
38%
$220-$225
$0 Vol.
13%
$225-$230
$0 Vol.
36%
$230-$235
$0 Vol.
11%
$235-$240
$0 Vol.
11%
>$240
$0 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.NVIDIA's upcoming August 26 earnings release after the bell stands as the dominant catalyst shaping trader positioning for the stock's August 28 close, with recent sessions showing volatility around the $208–215 area amid pre-earnings positioning. Market-implied odds cluster tightly across the $205–215 bands because participants price in a high likelihood of another EPS beat and raised guidance driven by sustained hyperscaler AI capital spending, yet remain uncertain about the magnitude of any post-print reaction given elevated valuations and broader sector rotation. Recent analyst reiterations of overweight ratings with price targets well above current levels, alongside strong data center revenue trends, support the bullish tilt, while macro factors including the Jackson Hole symposium and potential shifts in rate expectations add near-term uncertainty that could widen trading ranges.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$938End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.NVIDIA's upcoming August 26 earnings release after the bell stands as the dominant catalyst shaping trader positioning for the stock's August 28 close, with recent sessions showing volatility around the $208–215 area amid pre-earnings positioning. Market-implied odds cluster tightly across the $205–215 bands because participants price in a high likelihood of another EPS beat and raised guidance driven by sustained hyperscaler AI capital spending, yet remain uncertain about the magnitude of any post-print reaction given elevated valuations and broader sector rotation. Recent analyst reiterations of overweight ratings with price targets well above current levels, alongside strong data center revenue trends, support the bullish tilt, while macro factors including the Jackson Hole symposium and potential shifts in rate expectations add near-term uncertainty that could widen trading ranges.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Volume
$938End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...NVIDIA's upcoming August 26 earnings release after the bell stands as the dominant catalyst shaping trader positioning for the stock's August 28 close, with recent sessions showing volatility around the $208–215 area amid pre-earnings positioning. Market-implied odds cluster tightly across the $205–215 bands because participants price in a high likelihood of another EPS beat and raised guidance driven by sustained hyperscaler AI capital spending, yet remain uncertain about the magnitude of any post-print reaction given elevated valuations and broader sector rotation. Recent analyst reiterations of overweight ratings with price targets well above current levels, alongside strong data center revenue trends, support the bullish tilt, while macro factors including the Jackson Hole symposium and potential shifts in rate expectations add near-term uncertainty that could widen trading ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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