Recent enrollment data shows youth registration at 53% for ages 18-24, the lowest in 15 years, alongside earlier deadlines that close enrollment on 25 October before advance voting begins. These procedural shifts, combined with demographic patterns where younger, Māori, Pasifika, and lower-income voters enroll and participate at lower rates, are the main factors anchoring trader consensus around 76-82% turnout for the 7 November election. Campaign intensity over cost-of-living and policy differences has yet to produce a clear surge in engagement, while historical averages near 78% and the absence of major late catalysts keep probabilities tightly clustered without decisive separation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNew Zealand Election: Turnout
New Zealand Election: Turnout
78-80% 37%
76-78% 28%
80-82% 23.8%
<76% 4.7%
$19,948 Vol.
$19,948 Vol.
Nov 6, 2026
<76%
5%
76-78%
28%
78-80%
37%
80-82%
24%
82-84%
1%
84%+
4%
78-80% 37%
76-78% 28%
80-82% 23.8%
<76% 4.7%
$19,948 Vol.
$19,948 Vol.
Nov 6, 2026
<76%
$1,049 Vol.
5%
76-78%
$4,194 Vol.
28%
78-80%
$7,234 Vol.
37%
80-82%
$5,375 Vol.
24%
82-84%
$1,288 Vol.
1%
84%+
$807 Vol.
4%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Recent enrollment data shows youth registration at 53% for ages 18-24, the lowest in 15 years, alongside earlier deadlines that close enrollment on 25 October before advance voting begins. These procedural shifts, combined with demographic patterns where younger, Māori, Pasifika, and lower-income voters enroll and participate at lower rates, are the main factors anchoring trader consensus around 76-82% turnout for the 7 November election. Campaign intensity over cost-of-living and policy differences has yet to produce a clear surge in engagement, while historical averages near 78% and the absence of major late catalysts keep probabilities tightly clustered without decisive separation.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volume
$19,948End Date
Nov 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Recent enrollment data shows youth registration at 53% for ages 18-24, the lowest in 15 years, alongside earlier deadlines that close enrollment on 25 October before advance voting begins. These procedural shifts, combined with demographic patterns where younger, Māori, Pasifika, and lower-income voters enroll and participate at lower rates, are the main factors anchoring trader consensus around 76-82% turnout for the 7 November election. Campaign intensity over cost-of-living and policy differences has yet to produce a clear surge in engagement, while historical averages near 78% and the absence of major late catalysts keep probabilities tightly clustered without decisive separation.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$19,948End Date
Nov 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent enrollment data shows youth registration at 53% for ages 18-24, the lowest in 15 years, alongside earlier deadlines that close enrollment on 25 October before advance voting begins. These procedural shifts, combined with demographic patterns where younger, Māori, Pasifika, and lower-income voters enroll and participate at lower rates, are the main factors anchoring trader consensus around 76-82% turnout for the 7 November election. Campaign intensity over cost-of-living and policy differences has yet to produce a clear surge in engagement, while historical averages near 78% and the absence of major late catalysts keep probabilities tightly clustered without decisive separation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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