The NCAA Football Coach of the Year market remains tightly bunched early in the 2026 season because no single head coach enters with a decisive edge after last year's results. Curt Cignetti's back-to-back national title run and prior AP award at Indiana set a high bar, yet established programs under Kirby Smart, Ryan Day, Marcus Freeman, and Dan Lanning carry comparable expectations for conference titles or College Football Playoff runs. Recent preseason rankings and media polls highlight Mike Elko, Steve Sarkisian, Lane Kiffin, and Clark Lea among viable contenders based on roster continuity, schedule strength, and historical performance in similar situations. With the award typically resolving after the January 2027 AP announcement and outcomes hinging on regular-season wins, upsets, and team momentum, trader consensus reflects broad uncertainty across dozens of candidates rather than any dominant favorite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedF 100%
Bob Chesney 100%
Josh Heupel 100%
Jon Sumrall 100%
F
100%
Bob Chesney
100%
Josh Heupel
100%
Jon Sumrall
100%
Kalani Sitake
100%
Mike Elko
100%
K
100%
Brent Venables
52%
Kyle Whittingham
52%
Lincoln Riley
52%
H
52%
Lane Kiffin
52%
Deion Sanders
52%
Mario Cristobal
52%
Marcus Freeman
52%
Dan Lanning
52%
Matt Campbell
52%
Curt Cignetti
52%
Ryan Day
52%
G
52%
Pete Golding
50%
Bill Belichick
50%
Clark Lea
50%
James Franklin
50%
Jerry Mack
50%
Matt Rhule
50%
D
50%
E
50%
J
50%
Kirby Smart
50%
Joey McGuire
50%
Steve Sarkisian
50%
I
50%
L
50%
Jim Mora
49%
M
48%
Tony Elliott
47%
Kalen DeBoer
47%
F 100%
Bob Chesney 100%
Josh Heupel 100%
Jon Sumrall 100%
F
100%
Bob Chesney
100%
Josh Heupel
100%
Jon Sumrall
100%
Kalani Sitake
100%
Mike Elko
100%
K
100%
Brent Venables
52%
Kyle Whittingham
52%
Lincoln Riley
52%
H
52%
Lane Kiffin
52%
Deion Sanders
52%
Mario Cristobal
52%
Marcus Freeman
52%
Dan Lanning
52%
Matt Campbell
52%
Curt Cignetti
52%
Ryan Day
52%
G
52%
Pete Golding
50%
Bill Belichick
50%
Clark Lea
50%
James Franklin
50%
Jerry Mack
50%
Matt Rhule
50%
D
50%
E
50%
J
50%
Kirby Smart
50%
Joey McGuire
50%
Steve Sarkisian
50%
I
50%
L
50%
Jim Mora
49%
M
48%
Tony Elliott
47%
Kalen DeBoer
47%
If the award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by February 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple coaches are named co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the coach whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by February 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple coaches are named co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the coach whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The NCAA Football Coach of the Year market remains tightly bunched early in the 2026 season because no single head coach enters with a decisive edge after last year's results. Curt Cignetti's back-to-back national title run and prior AP award at Indiana set a high bar, yet established programs under Kirby Smart, Ryan Day, Marcus Freeman, and Dan Lanning carry comparable expectations for conference titles or College Football Playoff runs. Recent preseason rankings and media polls highlight Mike Elko, Steve Sarkisian, Lane Kiffin, and Clark Lea among viable contenders based on roster continuity, schedule strength, and historical performance in similar situations. With the award typically resolving after the January 2027 AP announcement and outcomes hinging on regular-season wins, upsets, and team momentum, trader consensus reflects broad uncertainty across dozens of candidates rather than any dominant favorite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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