Arizona State enters the 2026 season with a 6.5 win total amid significant roster turnover after an 8-5 campaign. Kenny Dillingham’s fourth year features heavy reliance on the transfer portal to replace departed quarterback Sam Leavitt and wide receiver Jordyn Tyson, highlighted by Kentucky transfer Cutter Boley competing for the starting role alongside additions like receivers Omarion Miller and Reed Harris plus defensive contributors. The schedule presents a stiff test, including road games at Texas A&M, Texas Tech, BYU, and Arizona plus a neutral-site matchup against Kansas in London. Preseason projections cluster near six or seven wins, reflecting uncertainty over new-player integration, special teams, and turnover margin against a competitive Big 12 slate. Recent fall camp reports show progress in the passing game but ongoing questions at quarterback heading into the opener.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated4.5+ Wins
95%
5.5+ Wins
78%
6.5+ Wins
53%
7.5+ Wins
27%
8.5+ Wins
22%
$275 Vol.
4.5+ Wins
95%
5.5+ Wins
78%
6.5+ Wins
53%
7.5+ Wins
27%
8.5+ Wins
22%
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Arizona State enters the 2026 season with a 6.5 win total amid significant roster turnover after an 8-5 campaign. Kenny Dillingham’s fourth year features heavy reliance on the transfer portal to replace departed quarterback Sam Leavitt and wide receiver Jordyn Tyson, highlighted by Kentucky transfer Cutter Boley competing for the starting role alongside additions like receivers Omarion Miller and Reed Harris plus defensive contributors. The schedule presents a stiff test, including road games at Texas A&M, Texas Tech, BYU, and Arizona plus a neutral-site matchup against Kansas in London. Preseason projections cluster near six or seven wins, reflecting uncertainty over new-player integration, special teams, and turnover margin against a competitive Big 12 slate. Recent fall camp reports show progress in the passing game but ongoing questions at quarterback heading into the opener.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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