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icon for NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner

NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner

icon for NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner

NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner

Jayden Maiava 16.8%

CJ Carr 11%

Arch Manning 11%

Dante Moore 8%

Polymarket
NEW

Jayden Maiava 16.8%

CJ Carr 11%

Arch Manning 11%

Dante Moore 8%

Polymarket
NEW

Jayden Maiava

$111 Vol.

9%

CJ Carr

$91 Vol.

11%

Arch Manning

$81 Vol.

11%

Dante Moore

$219 Vol.

8%

Darian Mensah

$53 Vol.

7%

Jeremiah Smith

$0 Vol.

7%

Trinidad Chambliss

$0 Vol.

6%

Julian Sayin

$592 Vol.

11%

Josh Hoover

$0 Vol.

4%

John Mateer

$41 Vol.

24%

Gunner Stockton

$0 Vol.

3%

Sam Leavitt

$0 Vol.

3%

Keelon Russell

$0 Vol.

2%

Marcel Reed

$0 Vol.

2%

Malachi Toney

$0 Vol.

2%

LaNorris Sellers

$0 Vol.

2%

Will Hammond

$0 Vol.

2%

Bryce Underwood

$0 Vol.

2%

Demond Williams Jr.

$0 Vol.

2%

Austin Mack

$0 Vol.

1%

Byrum Brown

$0 Vol.

1%

Rocco Becht

$0 Vol.

1%

Brendan Sorsby

$40 Vol.

20%

Drew Mestemaker

$20 Vol.

1%

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele

$10 Vol.

1%

Kevin Jennings

$20 Vol.

1%

Ahmad Hardy

$20 Vol.

1%

Bo Jackson

$20 Vol.

1%

Kewan Lacy

$20 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Heisman race opens as one of the most competitive in recent memory, with trader consensus reflected in bunched implied probabilities across a deep group of quarterbacks. John Mateer leads at 25.1% on Polymarket after a strong early 2025 stretch at Oklahoma that included ranked wins before a thumb injury, while Brendan Sorsby sits at 20.4% amid expectations for Cincinnati. CJ Carr (Notre Dame) and Arch Manning (Texas) follow closely in the 10-11% range, backed by blue-blood programs and strong 2025 finishes, alongside transfers like Darian Mensah at Miami and established names such as Julian Sayin and Dante Moore. The tight pricing stems from a loaded QB class, recent roster stability, and the historical difficulty of preseason favorites sustaining production through a full schedule and playoff push.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026.

If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,337
Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 6:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Heisman race opens as one of the most competitive in recent memory, with trader consensus reflected in bunched implied probabilities across a deep group of quarterbacks. John Mateer leads at 25.1% on Polymarket after a strong early 2025 stretch at Oklahoma that included ranked wins before a thumb injury, while Brendan Sorsby sits at 20.4% amid expectations for Cincinnati. CJ Carr (Notre Dame) and Arch Manning (Texas) follow closely in the 10-11% range, backed by blue-blood programs and strong 2025 finishes, alongside transfers like Darian Mensah at Miami and established names such as Julian Sayin and Dante Moore. The tight pricing stems from a loaded QB class, recent roster stability, and the historical difficulty of preseason favorites sustaining production through a full schedule and playoff push.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026.

If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,337
Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 6:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "John Mateer" at 24%, followed by "Brendan Sorsby" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner" is "John Mateer" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brendan Sorsby" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.