Klay Thompson’s signing with the Miami Heat after clearing waivers on August 23 has driven the overwhelming trader consensus around that outcome. Following a buyout from his final year with the Dallas Mavericks, the veteran sharpshooter agreed to a two-year, roughly $11.5 million contract that includes a player option and trade kicker, prioritizing roster fit and postseason contention alongside Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bam Adebayo. Recent form, age-related decline, and Miami’s need for perimeter spacing after key offseason moves further aligned the parties. While the deal appears finalized, rare late-stage contract disputes, a significant injury before the season, or an unforeseen league ruling could theoretically reopen options, though such developments remain highly improbable given the completed waiver process and public announcements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMiami Heat 97.5%
Los Angeles Lakers 1.7%
Orlando Magic 1.6%
Utah Jazz <1%
Miami Heat
98%
Los Angeles Lakers
2%
Orlando Magic
2%
Utah Jazz
1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Cleveland Cavaliers
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Golden State Warriors
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
LA Clippers
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
San Antonio Spurs
<1%
Miami Heat 97.5%
Los Angeles Lakers 1.7%
Orlando Magic 1.6%
Utah Jazz <1%
Miami Heat
98%
Los Angeles Lakers
2%
Orlando Magic
2%
Utah Jazz
1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Cleveland Cavaliers
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Golden State Warriors
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
LA Clippers
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
San Antonio Spurs
<1%
If Klay Thompson does not officially join a new team by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Dallas Mavericks”.
If Klay Thompson joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Klay Thompson is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official trade announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Dallas Mavericks and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Klay Thompson does not officially join a new team by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Dallas Mavericks”.
If Klay Thompson joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Klay Thompson is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official trade announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Dallas Mavericks and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Klay Thompson’s signing with the Miami Heat after clearing waivers on August 23 has driven the overwhelming trader consensus around that outcome. Following a buyout from his final year with the Dallas Mavericks, the veteran sharpshooter agreed to a two-year, roughly $11.5 million contract that includes a player option and trade kicker, prioritizing roster fit and postseason contention alongside Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bam Adebayo. Recent form, age-related decline, and Miami’s need for perimeter spacing after key offseason moves further aligned the parties. While the deal appears finalized, rare late-stage contract disputes, a significant injury before the season, or an unforeseen league ruling could theoretically reopen options, though such developments remain highly improbable given the completed waiver process and public announcements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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