United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Mordovia State Assembly election scheduled for September 18–20, 2026, reflecting its long-standing dominance in the republic’s legislative contests and the broader structure of Russian regional politics. In the prior cycle, the party secured over 67% of the vote and 42 of 48 seats through a mixed electoral system combining party-list and single-mandate districts. Incumbent advantages, including administrative mobilization and alignment with federal priorities, continue to shape outcomes, while registered opposition parties such as CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People trail far behind based on historical margins and current candidate registrations. The vote coincides with the regional head election and nationwide legislative balloting, further consolidating turnout dynamics in favor of the ruling party. No major scandals, candidate disqualifications, or polling shifts have altered this positioning in recent months. A meaningful challenge would require extraordinary developments, such as sudden elite defections or unprecedented low turnout among core supporters, neither of which appears imminent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUnited Russia 95.3%
New People 2.6%
LDPR <1%
CPRF <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
95%
New People
3%
LDPR
1%
CPRF
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
United Russia 95.3%
New People 2.6%
LDPR <1%
CPRF <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
$4,328 Vol.
95%
New People
$488 Vol.
3%
LDPR
$421 Vol.
1%
CPRF
$336 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia
$256 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the State Assembly of Mordovia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the State Assembly of Mordovia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the State Assembly of Mordovia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Mordovia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Mordovia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Mordovia State Assembly election scheduled for September 18–20, 2026, reflecting its long-standing dominance in the republic’s legislative contests and the broader structure of Russian regional politics. In the prior cycle, the party secured over 67% of the vote and 42 of 48 seats through a mixed electoral system combining party-list and single-mandate districts. Incumbent advantages, including administrative mobilization and alignment with federal priorities, continue to shape outcomes, while registered opposition parties such as CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People trail far behind based on historical margins and current candidate registrations. The vote coincides with the regional head election and nationwide legislative balloting, further consolidating turnout dynamics in favor of the ruling party. No major scandals, candidate disqualifications, or polling shifts have altered this positioning in recent months. A meaningful challenge would require extraordinary developments, such as sudden elite defections or unprecedented low turnout among core supporters, neither of which appears imminent.
Parliamentary elections to elect the State Assembly of Mordovia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the State Assembly of Mordovia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the State Assembly of Mordovia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Mordovia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Mordovia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the State Assembly of Mordovia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the State Assembly of Mordovia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Mordovia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Mordovia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 11:44 AM ET
Volume
$5,831End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the State Assembly of Mordovia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the State Assembly of Mordovia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the State Assembly of Mordovia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Mordovia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Mordovia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Mordovia State Assembly election scheduled for September 18–20, 2026, reflecting its long-standing dominance in the republic’s legislative contests and the broader structure of Russian regional politics. In the prior cycle, the party secured over 67% of the vote and 42 of 48 seats through a mixed electoral system combining party-list and single-mandate districts. Incumbent advantages, including administrative mobilization and alignment with federal priorities, continue to shape outcomes, while registered opposition parties such as CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People trail far behind based on historical margins and current candidate registrations. The vote coincides with the regional head election and nationwide legislative balloting, further consolidating turnout dynamics in favor of the ruling party. No major scandals, candidate disqualifications, or polling shifts have altered this positioning in recent months. A meaningful challenge would require extraordinary developments, such as sudden elite defections or unprecedented low turnout among core supporters, neither of which appears imminent.
Parliamentary elections to elect the State Assembly of Mordovia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the State Assembly of Mordovia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the State Assembly of Mordovia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Mordovia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Mordovia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the State Assembly of Mordovia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the State Assembly of Mordovia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Mordovia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Mordovia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$5,831End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Mordovia State Assembly election scheduled for September 18–20, 2026, reflecting its long-standing dominance in the republic’s legislative contests and the broader structure of Russian regional politics. In the prior cycle, the party secured over 67% of the vote and 42 of 48 seats through a mixed electoral system combining party-list and single-mandate districts. Incumbent advantages, including administrative mobilization and alignment with federal priorities, continue to shape outcomes, while registered opposition parties such as CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People trail far behind based on historical margins and current candidate registrations. The vote coincides with the regional head election and nationwide legislative balloting, further consolidating turnout dynamics in favor of the ruling party. No major scandals, candidate disqualifications, or polling shifts have altered this positioning in recent months. A meaningful challenge would require extraordinary developments, such as sudden elite defections or unprecedented low turnout among core supporters, neither of which appears imminent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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