Narendra Modi remains firmly in office as India's prime minister in his third term following the 2024 election, with the next general election scheduled no earlier than 2029. Recent developments, including his surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru's record as longest-serving elected prime minister in June 2026 and ongoing cabinet meetings on governance and youth engagement in August, underscore continuity. Protests over exam irregularities prompted one ministerial resignation in July but produced no broader challenge to leadership. Opposition statements questioning Modi's tenure reflect partisan positioning without altering parliamentary arithmetic or triggering early polls. Trader consensus at 93% for "No" aligns with the absence of structural pressures or scheduled events capable of forcing an exit before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
7% chance
$249,384 Vol.
$249,384 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
7% chance
$249,384 Vol.
$249,384 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi remains firmly in office as India's prime minister in his third term following the 2024 election, with the next general election scheduled no earlier than 2029. Recent developments, including his surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru's record as longest-serving elected prime minister in June 2026 and ongoing cabinet meetings on governance and youth engagement in August, underscore continuity. Protests over exam irregularities prompted one ministerial resignation in July but produced no broader challenge to leadership. Opposition statements questioning Modi's tenure reflect partisan positioning without altering parliamentary arithmetic or triggering early polls. Trader consensus at 93% for "No" aligns with the absence of structural pressures or scheduled events capable of forcing an exit before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$249,384End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi remains firmly in office as India's prime minister in his third term following the 2024 election, with the next general election scheduled no earlier than 2029. Recent developments, including his surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru's record as longest-serving elected prime minister in June 2026 and ongoing cabinet meetings on governance and youth engagement in August, underscore continuity. Protests over exam irregularities prompted one ministerial resignation in July but produced no broader challenge to leadership. Opposition statements questioning Modi's tenure reflect partisan positioning without altering parliamentary arithmetic or triggering early polls. Trader consensus at 93% for "No" aligns with the absence of structural pressures or scheduled events capable of forcing an exit before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$249,384End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi remains firmly in office as India's prime minister in his third term following the 2024 election, with the next general election scheduled no earlier than 2029. Recent developments, including his surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru's record as longest-serving elected prime minister in June 2026 and ongoing cabinet meetings on governance and youth engagement in August, underscore continuity. Protests over exam irregularities prompted one ministerial resignation in July but produced no broader challenge to leadership. Opposition statements questioning Modi's tenure reflect partisan positioning without altering parliamentary arithmetic or triggering early polls. Trader consensus at 93% for "No" aligns with the absence of structural pressures or scheduled events capable of forcing an exit before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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