Skip to main content
icon for Kraków Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Krakao

Kraków Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Kraków Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Krakao

Kraków Mayoral Election Winner

Łukasz Gibała 71%

Monika Piątkowska 17%

Daria Gosek-Popiołek 4.3%

Aleksandra Owca 3.8%

Polymarket

$19,555 Vol.

Łukasz Gibała 71%

Monika Piątkowska 17%

Daria Gosek-Popiołek 4.3%

Aleksandra Owca 3.8%

Polymarket

$19,555 Vol.

icon for Łukasz Gibała

Łukasz Gibała

$10,807 Vol.

71%

icon for Monika Piątkowska

Monika Piątkowska

$1,805 Vol.

17%

icon for Daria Gosek-Popiołek

Daria Gosek-Popiołek

$392 Vol.

4%

icon for Aleksandra Owca

Aleksandra Owca

$542 Vol.

4%

icon for Michał Drewnicki

Michał Drewnicki

$426 Vol.

2%

icon for Grażyna Zofia Świat

Grażyna Zofia Świat

$958 Vol.

1%

icon for Marian Banaś

Marian Banaś

$636 Vol.

1%

icon for Marianna Schreiber

Marianna Schreiber

$448 Vol.

1%

icon for Rafał Sonik

Rafał Sonik

$385 Vol.

1%

icon for Rafał Komarewicz

Rafał Komarewicz

$399 Vol.

1%

icon for Łukasz Wantuch

Łukasz Wantuch

$381 Vol.

1%

icon for Jan Hoffman

Jan Hoffman

$338 Vol.

1%

icon for Marta Ratuszyńska

Marta Ratuszyńska

$379 Vol.

1%

icon for Bartosz Bocheńczak

Bartosz Bocheńczak

$381 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paweł Śliz

Paweł Śliz

$456 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sławomir Pietrzyk

Sławomir Pietrzyk

$376 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michał Klimek

Michał Klimek

$445 Vol.

<1%

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała holds a commanding lead in the Kraków mayoral race at 70.5% implied probability ahead of the September 27, 2026, snap election triggered by the May 2026 recall of incumbent Aleksander Miszalski. As an independent on the Kraków for Residents committee, Gibała benefits from strong name recognition after his narrow 2024 runoff loss and consistent first-round poll leads of 17–25% in a field exceeding 20 candidates. Monika Piątkowska (KO/PSL) trails at 18.5%, aligning with surveys placing her in second at 12–14%, while Daria Gosek-Popiołek, Aleksandra Owca, Michał Drewnicki, and others register single-digit or lower support that matches their fragmented polling shares. Traders price the outcome on Gibała’s independent positioning, active local campaigning on tourism burdens and urban issues, and the absence of a consolidated challenger in the multi-candidate contest.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volume
$19,555
End Date
Sep 27, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała holds a commanding lead in the Kraków mayoral race at 70.5% implied probability ahead of the September 27, 2026, snap election triggered by the May 2026 recall of incumbent Aleksander Miszalski. As an independent on the Kraków for Residents committee, Gibała benefits from strong name recognition after his narrow 2024 runoff loss and consistent first-round poll leads of 17–25% in a field exceeding 20 candidates. Monika Piątkowska (KO/PSL) trails at 18.5%, aligning with surveys placing her in second at 12–14%, while Daria Gosek-Popiołek, Aleksandra Owca, Michał Drewnicki, and others register single-digit or lower support that matches their fragmented polling shares. Traders price the outcome on Gibała’s independent positioning, active local campaigning on tourism burdens and urban issues, and the absence of a consolidated challenger in the multi-candidate contest.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volume
$19,555
End Date
Sep 27, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.

Related

icon for Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?

Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?

97%
icon for Will Frank Klingebiel win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?

Will Frank Klingebiel win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?

96%
icon for Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

65%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Łukasz Gibała" at 71%, followed by "Monika Piątkowska" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $19.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" is "Łukasz Gibała" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Monika Piątkowska" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.