The heavily Democratic composition of Georgia's 13th Congressional District underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 96.2%. Longtime incumbent David Scott held the seat for over two decades before his death in April 2026, consistently winning with margins above 70% in recent cycles. The July 28 special election first round produced a runoff between Democrats Marcye Scott and Everton Blair after Republicans combined for under 14% of the vote, confirming the absence of competitive GOP strength. The August 25 runoff will therefore deliver a Democratic winner to complete the term through January 2027. Low-probability challenges include unusually skewed turnout or unforeseen procedural disruptions, though the district's established partisan patterns make a Republican outcome remote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGA-13 House Election Winner
$39,402 Vol.
$39,402 Vol.
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$39,402 Vol.
$39,402 Vol.
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic composition of Georgia's 13th Congressional District underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 96.2%. Longtime incumbent David Scott held the seat for over two decades before his death in April 2026, consistently winning with margins above 70% in recent cycles. The July 28 special election first round produced a runoff between Democrats Marcye Scott and Everton Blair after Republicans combined for under 14% of the vote, confirming the absence of competitive GOP strength. The August 25 runoff will therefore deliver a Democratic winner to complete the term through January 2027. Low-probability challenges include unusually skewed turnout or unforeseen procedural disruptions, though the district's established partisan patterns make a Republican outcome remote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions