Florida's 6th congressional district carries an R+14 partisan voter index, placing it among the more Republican-leaning seats nationally and earning unanimous "solid" or "safe" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Randy Fine secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with roughly 57 percent of the vote after winning a 2025 special election to succeed Mike Waltz. Democrat Eric Yonce advanced from a fragmented primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district where Republicans hold consistent registration and voting edges. Trader consensus at 94 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these baseline partisan and incumbency factors ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still narrow the margin, though no such developments have materialized in the past month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-06 House Election Winner
FL-06 House Election Winner
$10,397 Vol.
$10,397 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$10,397 Vol.
$10,397 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$1,731 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$8,666 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 6th congressional district carries an R+14 partisan voter index, placing it among the more Republican-leaning seats nationally and earning unanimous "solid" or "safe" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Randy Fine secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with roughly 57 percent of the vote after winning a 2025 special election to succeed Mike Waltz. Democrat Eric Yonce advanced from a fragmented primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district where Republicans hold consistent registration and voting edges. Trader consensus at 94 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these baseline partisan and incumbency factors ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still narrow the margin, though no such developments have materialized in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$10,397End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 6th congressional district carries an R+14 partisan voter index, placing it among the more Republican-leaning seats nationally and earning unanimous "solid" or "safe" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Randy Fine secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with roughly 57 percent of the vote after winning a 2025 special election to succeed Mike Waltz. Democrat Eric Yonce advanced from a fragmented primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district where Republicans hold consistent registration and voting edges. Trader consensus at 94 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these baseline partisan and incumbency factors ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still narrow the margin, though no such developments have materialized in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$10,397End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 6th congressional district carries an R+14 partisan voter index, placing it among the more Republican-leaning seats nationally and earning unanimous "solid" or "safe" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Randy Fine secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with roughly 57 percent of the vote after winning a 2025 special election to succeed Mike Waltz. Democrat Eric Yonce advanced from a fragmented primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district where Republicans hold consistent registration and voting edges. Trader consensus at 94 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these baseline partisan and incumbency factors ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still narrow the margin, though no such developments have materialized in the past month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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