Scottie Scheffler's commanding FedEx Cup points lead and recent eight-shot victory at the St. Jude Championship anchor trader sentiment at 21.5% implied probability, reflecting his season-long consistency in ball-striking and scoring. The straight stroke-play format at the Tour Championship levels the field among the top 30, elevating Rory McIlroy's rebound to third at the BMW Championship and his strong recent form as key differentiators for his 9.5% share. Xander Schauffele, Sam Burns, Ludvig Åberg and others trail in a wide-open group where recent playoff results, East Lake history and current momentum separate contenders from longer shots in the final event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 22%
Rory McIlroy 10%
Xander Schauffele 6.3%
Sam Burns 4.7%
$2,651,282 Vol.
$2,651,282 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
Scottie Scheffler
22%
Rory McIlroy
10%
Xander Schauffele
6%
Sam Burns
5%
Ludvig Åberg
4%
Chris Gotterup
4%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Russell Henley
3%
Si Woo Kim
2%
J.J. Spaun
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Gary Woodland
2%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
Scottie Scheffler 22%
Rory McIlroy 10%
Xander Schauffele 6.3%
Sam Burns 4.7%
$2,651,282 Vol.
$2,651,282 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
Scottie Scheffler
$16,046 Vol.
22%
Rory McIlroy
$2,840 Vol.
10%
Xander Schauffele
$826 Vol.
6%
Sam Burns
$5,532 Vol.
5%
Ludvig Åberg
$2,236 Vol.
4%
Chris Gotterup
$1,081 Vol.
4%
Matt Fitzpatrick
$1,252 Vol.
4%
Cameron Young
$1,661 Vol.
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
$2,156 Vol.
4%
Hideki Matsuyama
$1,163 Vol.
3%
Collin Morikawa
$474 Vol.
3%
Russell Henley
$795 Vol.
3%
Si Woo Kim
$746 Vol.
2%
J.J. Spaun
$864 Vol.
2%
Justin Rose
$603 Vol.
2%
Gary Woodland
$317,013 Vol.
2%
Robert MacIntyre
$824 Vol.
1%
Min Woo Lee
$98,669 Vol.
1%
Ryan Gerard
$3,942 Vol.
1%
Adam Scott
$453 Vol.
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
$24,548 Vol.
1%
Akshay Bhatia
$678 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.
If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Scottie Scheffler's commanding FedEx Cup points lead and recent eight-shot victory at the St. Jude Championship anchor trader sentiment at 21.5% implied probability, reflecting his season-long consistency in ball-striking and scoring. The straight stroke-play format at the Tour Championship levels the field among the top 30, elevating Rory McIlroy's rebound to third at the BMW Championship and his strong recent form as key differentiators for his 9.5% share. Xander Schauffele, Sam Burns, Ludvig Åberg and others trail in a wide-open group where recent playoff results, East Lake history and current momentum separate contenders from longer shots in the final event.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.
If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
Volume
$2,651,282End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.
If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Scottie Scheffler's commanding FedEx Cup points lead and recent eight-shot victory at the St. Jude Championship anchor trader sentiment at 21.5% implied probability, reflecting his season-long consistency in ball-striking and scoring. The straight stroke-play format at the Tour Championship levels the field among the top 30, elevating Rory McIlroy's rebound to third at the BMW Championship and his strong recent form as key differentiators for his 9.5% share. Xander Schauffele, Sam Burns, Ludvig Åberg and others trail in a wide-open group where recent playoff results, East Lake history and current momentum separate contenders from longer shots in the final event.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.
If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$2,651,282End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Scottie Scheffler's commanding FedEx Cup points lead and recent eight-shot victory at the St. Jude Championship anchor trader sentiment at 21.5% implied probability, reflecting his season-long consistency in ball-striking and scoring. The straight stroke-play format at the Tour Championship levels the field among the top 30, elevating Rory McIlroy's rebound to third at the BMW Championship and his strong recent form as key differentiators for his 9.5% share. Xander Schauffele, Sam Burns, Ludvig Åberg and others trail in a wide-open group where recent playoff results, East Lake history and current momentum separate contenders from longer shots in the final event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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