Scottie Scheffler holds the narrowest lead in the TOUR Championship market at 26.5% implied probability due to his FedExCup points advantage and St. Jude victory, yet the bunched pricing reflects the even-start format at East Lake that eliminates any strokes lead and rewards the deep field’s collective ball-striking and recent momentum. Rory McIlroy benefits from multiple East Lake wins and improved BMW form, while Xander Schauffele draws support from strong historical scoring there. Wyndham Clark’s BMW victory, Ludvig Åberg’s consistency, and Sam Burns’ late-season results keep several players within striking distance in a 30-man event where course history and current form create tight competitive dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 27%
Xander Schauffele 22%
Rory McIlroy 21%
Ludvig Aberg 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
Scottie Scheffler
27%
Xander Schauffele
22%
Rory McIlroy
21%
Ludvig Aberg
19%
Sam Burns
19%
Wyndham Clark
19%
Collin Morikawa
19%
Tommy Fleetwood
19%
Si Woo Kim
18%
Matt Fitzpatrick
18%
Viktor Hovland
18%
Adam Scott
17%
J.J. Spaun
17%
Tom Kim
17%
Hideki Matsuyama
17%
Jacob Bridgeman
17%
Justin Rose
17%
Ryan Gerard
17%
Alex Smalley
17%
Min Woo Lee
17%
Kristoffer Reitan
17%
Akshay Bhatia
17%
Alex Fitzpatrick
17%
Ryan Fox
17%
Russell Henley
16%
Cameron Young
12%
Chris Gotterup
17%
Scottie Scheffler 27%
Xander Schauffele 22%
Rory McIlroy 21%
Ludvig Aberg 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
Scottie Scheffler
$0 Vol.
27%
Xander Schauffele
$0 Vol.
22%
Rory McIlroy
$0 Vol.
21%
Ludvig Aberg
$0 Vol.
19%
Sam Burns
$0 Vol.
19%
Wyndham Clark
$0 Vol.
19%
Collin Morikawa
$0 Vol.
19%
Tommy Fleetwood
$0 Vol.
19%
Si Woo Kim
$0 Vol.
18%
Matt Fitzpatrick
$0 Vol.
18%
Viktor Hovland
$0 Vol.
18%
Adam Scott
$0 Vol.
17%
J.J. Spaun
$0 Vol.
17%
Tom Kim
$0 Vol.
17%
Hideki Matsuyama
$0 Vol.
17%
Jacob Bridgeman
$0 Vol.
17%
Justin Rose
$0 Vol.
17%
Ryan Gerard
$0 Vol.
17%
Alex Smalley
$0 Vol.
17%
Min Woo Lee
$0 Vol.
17%
Kristoffer Reitan
$0 Vol.
17%
Akshay Bhatia
$0 Vol.
17%
Alex Fitzpatrick
$0 Vol.
17%
Ryan Fox
$0 Vol.
17%
Russell Henley
$0 Vol.
16%
Cameron Young
$0 Vol.
12%
Chris Gotterup
$3 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Scottie Scheffler holds the narrowest lead in the TOUR Championship market at 26.5% implied probability due to his FedExCup points advantage and St. Jude victory, yet the bunched pricing reflects the even-start format at East Lake that eliminates any strokes lead and rewards the deep field’s collective ball-striking and recent momentum. Rory McIlroy benefits from multiple East Lake wins and improved BMW form, while Xander Schauffele draws support from strong historical scoring there. Wyndham Clark’s BMW victory, Ludvig Åberg’s consistency, and Sam Burns’ late-season results keep several players within striking distance in a 30-man event where course history and current form create tight competitive dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volume
$33End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Scottie Scheffler holds the narrowest lead in the TOUR Championship market at 26.5% implied probability due to his FedExCup points advantage and St. Jude victory, yet the bunched pricing reflects the even-start format at East Lake that eliminates any strokes lead and rewards the deep field’s collective ball-striking and recent momentum. Rory McIlroy benefits from multiple East Lake wins and improved BMW form, while Xander Schauffele draws support from strong historical scoring there. Wyndham Clark’s BMW victory, Ludvig Åberg’s consistency, and Sam Burns’ late-season results keep several players within striking distance in a 30-man event where course history and current form create tight competitive dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$33End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Scottie Scheffler holds the narrowest lead in the TOUR Championship market at 26.5% implied probability due to his FedExCup points advantage and St. Jude victory, yet the bunched pricing reflects the even-start format at East Lake that eliminates any strokes lead and rewards the deep field’s collective ball-striking and recent momentum. Rory McIlroy benefits from multiple East Lake wins and improved BMW form, while Xander Schauffele draws support from strong historical scoring there. Wyndham Clark’s BMW victory, Ludvig Åberg’s consistency, and Sam Burns’ late-season results keep several players within striking distance in a 30-man event where course history and current form create tight competitive dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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