**Scottie Scheffler’s commanding lead in the FedEx Cup standings, highlighted by his eight-shot victory at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, underpins trader consensus around his 21.5% implied probability.** The world No. 1 has delivered consistent elite ball-striking and putting across a season of multiple runner-up finishes, positioning him as the frontrunner heading into the straight-stroke-play Tour Championship at East Lake. Rory McIlroy (9.5%) and Xander Schauffele (7.0%) trail amid variable recent form, while players like Sam Burns, Tommy Fleetwood, and Ludvig Åberg benefit from steady top-10 contention and playoff advancement. Wyndham Clark’s BMW Championship win elevated his profile, yet the wide field reflects how one strong week at East Lake can shift outcomes among the top 30 qualifiers despite Scheffler’s overall edge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 22%
Rory McIlroy 10%
Xander Schauffele 7.5%
Sam Burns 5.0%
$2,651,282 Vol.
$2,651,282 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
22%
Rory McIlroy
10%
Xander Schauffele
7%
Sam Burns
5%
Ludvig Åberg
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Chris Gotterup
4%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Justin Rose
2%
Si Woo Kim
2%
Russell Henley
2%
J.J. Spaun
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
<1%
Adam Scott
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 22%
Rory McIlroy 10%
Xander Schauffele 7.5%
Sam Burns 5.0%
$2,651,282 Vol.
$2,651,282 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
22%
Rory McIlroy
10%
Xander Schauffele
7%
Sam Burns
5%
Ludvig Åberg
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Chris Gotterup
4%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Justin Rose
2%
Si Woo Kim
2%
Russell Henley
2%
J.J. Spaun
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
<1%
Adam Scott
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Scottie Scheffler’s commanding lead in the FedEx Cup standings, highlighted by his eight-shot victory at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, underpins trader consensus around his 21.5% implied probability.** The world No. 1 has delivered consistent elite ball-striking and putting across a season of multiple runner-up finishes, positioning him as the frontrunner heading into the straight-stroke-play Tour Championship at East Lake. Rory McIlroy (9.5%) and Xander Schauffele (7.0%) trail amid variable recent form, while players like Sam Burns, Tommy Fleetwood, and Ludvig Åberg benefit from steady top-10 contention and playoff advancement. Wyndham Clark’s BMW Championship win elevated his profile, yet the wide field reflects how one strong week at East Lake can shift outcomes among the top 30 qualifiers despite Scheffler’s overall edge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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